Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f6300a028c7b7473c9e6921b9baf1668f0ff22bb3688f9986457528f60e1b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 54c | 18,198$9,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,370.88 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 11,218$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.24 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PlayTime | 62c | 8,622$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.91 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 35c | 7,439$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.28 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PARIVISION | 43c | 5,989$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.47 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 68c | 5,430$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.55 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed PARIVISION | 28c | 4,938$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.43 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PlayTime | 47c | 3,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.05 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 57c | 3,219$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 3,072$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.24 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PARIVISION | 54c | 2,796$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.94 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked PlayTime | 35c | 2,223$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.06 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PlayTime | 57c | 1,942$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.65 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.63 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 46c | 1,525$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.14 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked PARIVISION | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,463$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.77 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PlayTime | 54c | 1,415$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.86 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked PlayTime | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PARIVISION | 44c | 1,398$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.81 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,345$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,231$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.74 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 48c | 1,156$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.52 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 60c | 1,127$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.17 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked PlayTime | 33c | 1,090$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime | 63c | 1,031$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.57 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PARIVISION | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked PlayTime | 30c | 985.29$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.71 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 48c | 935.49$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 62c | 877.89$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.09 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PlayTime | 69c | 870.9$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 64c | 849.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION | 41c | 801.58$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.18 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 789.68$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.42 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 42c | 750$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION | 43c | 676.9$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.28 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PARIVISION | 50c | 636.38$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.02 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION | 37c | 630$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.17 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked PlayTime | 49c | 606.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PlayTime | 59c | 595.83$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.79 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 542.09$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.39 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 56c | 534$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.96 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PlayTime | 58c | 521.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 65c | 520.56$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 519.19$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 506.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked PlayTime | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION | 66c | 500$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 59c | 463.63$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 62c | 445.91$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed PlayTime | 61c | 440.21$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked PlayTime | 36c | 426.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.57 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 44c | 418.54$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.31 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked PlayTime | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PARIVISION | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked PlayTime | 73c | 370.48$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed PARIVISION | 55c | 370.41$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e38…54b6backed PARIVISION | 31c | 356.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed PARIVISION | 64c | 332.55$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PlayTime | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked PlayTime | 68c | 282.58$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed PARIVISION | 24c | 279.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PlayTime | 46c | 260.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed PARIVISION | 40c | 250.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed PARIVISION | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 56c | 249.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed PARIVISION | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 46c | 224.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PlayTime | 61c | 217.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 65c | 207.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PlayTime | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PlayTime | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed PlayTime | 49c | 188.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PARIVISION | 31c | 187$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PlayTime | 49c | 174.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed PARIVISION | 55c | 166.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…3c44backed PARIVISION | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed PlayTime | 63c | 139.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed PlayTime | 36c | 137.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 135.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed PARIVISION | 30c | 134.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0b…2ddebacked PARIVISION | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked PARIVISION | 26c | 124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked PlayTime | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 44c | 118.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked PlayTime | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed PARIVISION | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PlayTime | 40c | 106.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked PlayTime | 36c | 104.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…be06backed PARIVISION | 34c | 103.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked PlayTime | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed PlayTime | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed PlayTime | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.