Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0400b83703249b4ecf7c7e3b16b4dd0d16dc4b9e6d61ca9de83c635743099b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PlayTime, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 46c | 25,624$11,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,839.77 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 46c | 19,857$9,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,078.87 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 63c | 17,246$10,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,420.71 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 44c | 8,329$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.11 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PlayTime | 32c | 7,108$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.53 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed PARIVISION | 71c | 6,726$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.12 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 5,000$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 69c | 4,886$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.99 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PlayTime | 28c | 3,704$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.88 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 3,500$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 42c | 3,460$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.35 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 60c | 3,263$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.16 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed PARIVISION | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 2,647$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.88 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 25c | 1,985$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,900$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,750$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,669$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.36 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 38c | 1,633$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed PlayTime | 4c | 1,565$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,504$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.54 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,463$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.54 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PlayTime | 34c | 1,438$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.35 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed PlayTime | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,249$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.61 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION | 69c | 1,188$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.89 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,148$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.05 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked PlayTime | 31c | 1,090$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed PlayTime | 29c | 1,058$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed PlayTime | 33c | 1,004$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.22 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 1,003$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.45 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PlayTime | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked PlayTime | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 34c | 925.13$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked PlayTime | 20c | 866.91$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed PlayTime | 52c | 714.41$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.84 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed PlayTime | 9c | 636.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 604.75$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PlayTime | 72c | 567.98$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.29 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked PlayTime | 72c | 554.65$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.35 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 42c | 550.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 506.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PlayTime | 28c | 500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked PlayTime | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 22c | 490.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed PARIVISION | 18c | 482.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 476.57$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 52c | 406.9$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 383.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 376.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed PlayTime | 24c | 373.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed PlayTime | 11c | 356.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 355.66$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked PARIVISION | 42c | 353.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 31c | 352.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PlayTime | 8c | 350.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 32c | 348.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PARIVISION | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed PARIVISION | 73c | 310$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed PlayTime | 33c | 309.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PARIVISION | 35c | 299.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 260.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed PARIVISION | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 248.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked PlayTime | 56c | 220.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 220.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 24c | 219.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed PARIVISION | 33c | 195.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked PlayTime | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked PlayTime | 33c | 171.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed PlayTime | 51c | 162.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 70c | 160.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed PlayTime | 63c | 159.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed PARIVISION | 27c | 137.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed PlayTime | 59c | 131.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked PlayTime | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PlayTime | 33c | 126.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 120.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed PARIVISION | 70c | 118.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…e930backed PlayTime | 25c | 117.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed PlayTime | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PlayTime | 37c | 110.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked PlayTime | 63c | 102.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed PARIVISION | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION | 53c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 95.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed PARIVISION | 67c | 92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5c…7428backed PlayTime | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked PARIVISION | 51c | 86.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed PlayTime | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PARIVISION | 35c | 83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked PARIVISION | 24c | 80.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…c8e1backed PlayTime | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.