TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, GamerLegion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x586e…2430backed GamerLegion0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed GamerLegion16c8,766$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.1333746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion20c7,150$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.541,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked GamerLegion15c4,980$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.854346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed GamerLegion33c3,714$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2157341.1%30 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.1747660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming77c2,606$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.22,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked GamerLegion1c2,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Xtreme Gaming74c2,416$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.566566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked GamerLegion25c1,755$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.0322954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…67a6backed GamerLegion16c1,612$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.573633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9381029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming75c1,339$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6529160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed GamerLegion1c1,236$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed GamerLegion15c1,200$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.825942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming72c1,147$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5554556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion22c1,096$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.142,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Xtreme Gaming72c1,001$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.396850%34 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked GamerLegion2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed GamerLegion16c606.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018444.6%82 W · 102 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked GamerLegion25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505829.3%17 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked GamerLegion17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Xtreme Gaming75c560.85$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7920949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked GamerLegion26c533.27$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1378750.6%44 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91e…b045backed GamerLegion2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed GamerLegion19c498.61$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4731245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed GamerLegion29c436.15$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.762334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed GamerLegion23c431.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Xtreme Gaming73c400$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Xtreme Gaming70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae4c…6cfbbacked GamerLegion17c352.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed GamerLegion34c350.3$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9359250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed GamerLegion33c342.59$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3417740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked GamerLegion17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5119251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked GamerLegion25c272$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6833845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming77c231.74$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.151,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked GamerLegion24c219.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.110941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6287645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed GamerLegion31c181.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5115131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed GamerLegion28c177.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Xtreme Gaming72c162.3$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0810156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed GamerLegion31c162.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503d…886abacked GamerLegion16c141.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.552931%9 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b7…125cbacked GamerLegion30c141.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b9…346fbacked Xtreme Gaming76c138.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.171861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Xtreme Gaming74c132.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0810659.4%63 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked GamerLegion17c122.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7710342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked GamerLegion15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188248.8%40 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed GamerLegion15c106.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed GamerLegion24c105.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed GamerLegion28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Xtreme Gaming72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2813657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed GamerLegion32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3237745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34e…c0f4backed GamerLegion27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.56547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed GamerLegion28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2897142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed GamerLegion26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked GamerLegion16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed GamerLegion36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3645951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Xtreme Gaming77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eab…211bbacked Xtreme Gaming78c99.08$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1825%2 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-67.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked GamerLegion27c96.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0914965.8%98 W · 51 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Xtreme Gaming77c89.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0219664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bef…be32backed GamerLegion37c84.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113449.3%66 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked GamerLegion19c78.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9930543%131 W · 174 L+18.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked GamerLegion14c76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6822654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion29c70.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6420452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16de…2ebdbacked Xtreme Gaming73c55.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked GamerLegion29c53.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7511857.6%68 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed GamerLegion38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Xtreme Gaming71c49.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2372154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Xtreme Gaming68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1231659.8%189 W · 127 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Xtreme Gaming72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6721751.6%112 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf938…1249backed Xtreme Gaming73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.117360.7%105 W · 68 L-13.6wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming77c40.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.351,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion28c38.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked GamerLegion31c37.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.758342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85d…6832backed Xtreme Gaming70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612438.7%48 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedef…4ee4backed Xtreme Gaming69c17.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Xtreme Gaming66c15.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4247951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.