Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248b32a513eb306e4047700d40f01a1358d8521288b1e4cf9d87fc5ea064f893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 21,624$15,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Team Falcons | 65c | 19,069$12,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,394.64 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 18,802$6,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,295.65 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Team Falcons | 45c | 15,236$6,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,793.68 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 12,006$8,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410.75 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 9,368$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.66 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons | 66c | 8,376$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.61 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 6,128$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 6,012$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.35 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 5,483$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.32 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 5,157$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.01 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 3,862$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 3,380$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.6 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports | 19c | 3,351$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.21 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 3,316$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Team Falcons | 78c | 3,109$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.2 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 2,457$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.18 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,174$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.47 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 2,130$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.25 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,749$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.42 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,690$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.82 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,675$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.2 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 1,526$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.72 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,090$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.63 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,013$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.86 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…c3efbacked Tundra Esports | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 904.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.3 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 856.66$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.4 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 770.17$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.19 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 722$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.05 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Team Falcons | 42c | 719.35$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4eb…6055backed Team Falcons | 63c | 700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 697.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.14 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 605$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.85 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 543.08$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.78 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Team Falcons | 70c | 530.29$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 516.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 506.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…cf46backed Tundra Esports | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…c69bbacked Tundra Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…f46dbacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 457.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Team Falcons | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 52c | 400$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…6c41backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 387.69$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b21dbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 360.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Falcons | 79c | 311.09$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 290$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…995abacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Falcons | 74c | 264$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…31b6backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 249.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 206.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Team Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…c255backed Team Falcons | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed Team Falcons | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 199.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 190.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…0fd8backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 189$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Falcons | 77c | 185.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…6c6ebacked Team Falcons | 77c | 178$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9738…4401backed Team Falcons | 57c | 172.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…464cbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 150.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…b4dcbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 135.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…2eccbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 129.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 128$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Team Falcons | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 108.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +524%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Team Falcons | 52c | 107.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tundra Esports | 15c | 106.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…c06ebacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed Team Falcons | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Team Falcons | 61c | 95.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 90$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…3239backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 83.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…70e5backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 78.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…5365backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 75.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…83d2backed Team Falcons | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…ab87backed Team Falcons | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 67.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…7ce5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…346fbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 58.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO5)this page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons - Game 3 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.