TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Heroic43c39,905$17,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,157933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed BetBoom Team58c32,750$19,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,695.8916050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Heroic31c16,889$5,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,175.814515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked BetBoom Team60c16,558$9,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,611.7515852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684f…af41backed BetBoom Team66c13,858$9,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.871442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Heroic31c12,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.9911839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked BetBoom Team69c10,547$7,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.443542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed BetBoom Team70c9,246$6,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,814.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Heroic35c9,114$3,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,161.768845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked BetBoom Team62c8,700$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30010236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0431…6088backed BetBoom Team62c6,434$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.83812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-79.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed BetBoom Team70c5,714$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.292483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic30c5,618$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.3989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…e491backed BetBoom Team62c3,883$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12a…f637backed BetBoom Team56c3,400$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.882445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic33c3,158$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked BetBoom Team62c3,061$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.7914251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a8…9850backed Heroic24c3,056$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.421323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-49.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed BetBoom Team69c2,999$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.552740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Heroic32c2,700$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.914252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic39c2,350$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.555751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked BetBoom Team69c2,225$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.7661057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed BetBoom Team61c2,212$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.423748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd89b…7945backed BetBoom Team37c2,194$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.041442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked BetBoom Team60c1,914$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.416232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Heroic15c1,904$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6410340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed BetBoom Team78c1,620$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5512755.1%70 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…3af4backed BetBoom Team62c1,524$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Heroic38c1,426$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.6134561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde2c…587bbacked Heroic32c1,403$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Heroic25c1,327$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33719743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9e…1e92backed Heroic70c1,309$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.21666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked BetBoom Team70c1,286$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7129160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Heroic33c1,215$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.865928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Heroic26c1,140$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.92536%9 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf77d…2028backed BetBoom Team67c1,099$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231e…9297backed BetBoom Team61c1,060$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.49100%9 W · 0 L+4.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+120.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4992…6f5cbacked Heroic64c1,046$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic29c1,037$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.091,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed BetBoom Team59c1,005$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.041553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed BetBoom Team57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Heroic31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked BetBoom Team68c999.98$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9933850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db1…8c66backed Heroic31c967.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5b…cb7ebacked Heroic14c911.33$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.441010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-75%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15b1…33aabacked Heroic24c823.18$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.57119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Heroic14c810$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cea…ebc1backed BetBoom Team63c756.16$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked BetBoom Team61c743$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.7210048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7116…b487backed BetBoom Team50c737.71$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.433050%15 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked BetBoom Team58c732.66$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4610941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked BetBoom Team72c677.38$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8458152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62c…1cf4backed Heroic64c663.56$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ec…2780backed BetBoom Team66c662.18$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.831770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Heroic29c650$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.538653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffd…a1e5backed Heroic31c638.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.022030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Heroic31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18670%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Heroic32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.932729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84eb…869dbacked Heroic30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x696f…6f29backed Heroic33c598.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked BetBoom Team69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.714856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf14b…1825backed Heroic54c556.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb401…df2abacked Heroic27c530.94$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8477…fb86backed BetBoom Team73c513.74$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team47c512.7$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.764149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Heroic31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Heroic30c499.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6beb…389fbacked BetBoom Team58c469.64$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.251283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Heroic43c464.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.955251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked BetBoom Team69c452.98$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x960c…e052backed BetBoom Team76c451.44$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…f7e4backed Heroic32c437.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b4…4f99backed BetBoom Team42c435.1$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.093330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BetBoom Team69c411.33$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.518146.9%38 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Heroic44c401.92$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7f…4f40backed Heroic23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa675…b98dbacked BetBoom Team61c361.6$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.522268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14753652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dea…136bbacked BetBoom Team51c349.97$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.971250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd02…6bbdbacked Heroic35c347.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefab…a304backed Heroic32c340.63$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1095743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Heroic29c340$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008160.5%49 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Heroic61c329.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020350.7%103 W · 100 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked BetBoom Team73c325.92$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6115949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…9963backed BetBoom Team68c308.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed BetBoom Team61c307.43$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b7…9155backed BetBoom Team80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb617…e50abacked Heroic36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…2212backed BetBoom Team78c298.47$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.191070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4eb2…273ebacked Heroic73c285.97$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ef…9a66backed BetBoom Team70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed BetBoom Team70c284.29$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+50.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x906f…371abacked Heroic68c281.81$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x723d…fe66backed BetBoom Team74c264.58$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Heroic15c260.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.411520%3 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95d6…9aeabacked BetBoom Team55c257.47$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8212132.2%39 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Heroic43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Heroic40c230$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.615854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a1…c0dabacked Heroic25c230$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.12429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11e…76f0backed Heroic54c223.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.