NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b4da4e946b0d42e97c3077e99fb8b33bf4223d5eb9905db2813742a1ead82f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 19,694$10,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.92 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Under | 59c | 15,030$8,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121.35 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 42c | 10,897$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.79 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 10,628$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 51c | 9,217$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700.87 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 5,939$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 41c | 4,657$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.24 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 4,292$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.26 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Over | 43c | 4,000$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.95 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Under | 49c | 3,987$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.58 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 3,984$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Under | 48c | 3,876$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 32c | 3,069$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.41 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 51c | 2,960$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.77 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 2,827$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.97 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…b9a1backed Under | 49c | 2,462$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Over | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 52c | 1,775$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.85 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 25c | 1,653$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.1 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 27c | 1,560$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.29 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 1,529$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.49 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 42c | 1,382$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.4 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 59c | 1,240$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.37 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 59c | 1,175$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.77 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.84 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 59c | 1,068$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.03 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 39c | 1,029$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.38 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Over | 41c | 1,026$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.57 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Under | 49c | 991.96$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…259abacked Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 76c | 919.3$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.98 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 44c | 878.52$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.55 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 825.82$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.22 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Under | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Under | 49c | 794.8$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.35 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 43c | 786.12$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 774.21$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 9c | 743.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 52c | 713.66$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.43 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 48c | 698.09$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 49c | 672.3$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.87 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 71c | 625$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 56c | 606.92$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.04 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 596.71$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 563.79$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Under | 80c | 558.88$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Under | 60c | 528.11$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.24 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Under | 59c | 498.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 486.18$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.79 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…1ceabacked Over | 46c | 462.66$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 462.46$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.29 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…a82abacked Under | 67c | 455.88$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 41c | 429$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Over | 43c | 423.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 42c | 403.91$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Over | 51c | 385.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 56c | 351.44$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Over | 44c | 316.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 41c | 299.03$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 41c | 294.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Under | 59c | 292.82$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed Over | 44c | 291.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 41c | 288.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Over | 50c | 284.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…ac49backed Under | 50c | 283.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…590abacked Over | 52c | 281.65$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…8f38backed Over | 4c | 280.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…44d0backed Over | 44c | 272.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 31c | 245.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 68c | 243.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 61c | 240.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 59c | 214.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 59c | 214.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 69c | 201.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 44c | 197.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 45c | 195.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Over | 32c | 191.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 24c | 190.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Over | 50c | 184.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 66c | 178.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 19c | 175.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…df91backed Over | 11c | 174.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Under | 59c | 165.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 45c | 162.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c9…52afbacked Under | 61c | 160.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Lakers won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.