NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x914024ab88f826a56170b4f74209870c92f2231a6e9679da27a047ffa5021596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 19,997$9,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,198.25 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 51c | 9,106$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,644.15 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 8,953$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 51c | 8,704$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.21 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 50c | 6,857$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.5 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 5,710$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.54 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 8c | 5,708$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,242.66 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,943$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 3,165$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.11 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 3c | 3,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 77c | 2,529$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.16 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 2,390$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.16 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 51c | 2,094$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.14 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 49c | 2,078$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.11 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Over | 48c | 1,866$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.23 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Under | 5c | 1,740$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 5c | 1,740$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 48c | 1,703$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.55 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…4ad4backed Over | 33c | 1,700$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 37c | 1,369$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.38 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 4c | 1,320$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Under | 10c | 1,300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Over | 7c | 1,282$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.86 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 1,260$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.51 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 9c | 1,252$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.67 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 50c | 1,201$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.43 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 5c | 1,125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 38c | 1,119$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.66 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 3c | 1,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 49c | 984.91$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.3 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked Under | 6c | 943.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 51c | 910.86$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.32 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 53c | 907.62$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 51c | 884.96$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.33 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Over | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 49c | 718.74$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.56 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…a82abacked Over | 52c | 693.19$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 4c | 666.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 18c | 649.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 32c | 617.11$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Under | 14c | 600$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Under | 2c | 550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 18c | 542$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed Under | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…b933backed Under | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 15c | 499.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.97 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 27c | 470$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 52c | 441.59$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.46 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 22c | 435$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 47c | 424.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 28c | 408$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 385.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 49c | 379.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 373.89$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.69 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 14c | 359.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.14 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 49c | 350.28$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 28c | 342.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.09 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Over | 53c | 341.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 6c | 325$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 9c | 320$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 313.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Over | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 50c | 291.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 8c | 290.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.85 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 19c | 266$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 35c | 253.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 250.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 53c | 247.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.8wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b1aebacked Under | 20c | 225$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 221.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 8c | 213.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 52c | 209.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 202.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 18c | 202$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 49c | 196.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…156bbacked Over | 53c | 194.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…2f83backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 179.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 8c | 171.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Lakers won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.