NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe05b9ffdf242d52448db4360eee7c92822a517d763134bb31802e656f7138b3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Under | 55c | 20,337$11,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,139.34 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 47c | 15,046$7,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,093.69 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 45c | 7,427$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.1 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 6,908$5,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 6,339$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 53c | 4,917$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.07 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Over | 48c | 3,159$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 47c | 2,522$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.32 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,759$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 8c | 1,606$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 1,218$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.82 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 33c | 1,074$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.31 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 788.5$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.88 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…1ceabacked Over | 48c | 739.68$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 47c | 727.1$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.74 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 560.48$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over | 45c | 555.84$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Under | 55c | 551.45$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.46 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 494.67$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.49 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 35c | 397.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 74c | 349.4$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 347.77$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 74c | 347.68$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…fb35backed Over | 11c | 331.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…ba2cbacked Under | 56c | 295.37$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 73c | 279.83$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 73c | 279.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 54c | 259.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 53c | 256.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 221.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 80c | 194.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…3c5abacked Over | 45c | 175.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 154.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 69c | 151.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 68c | 95.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 12c | 90.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 80c | 81.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 75c | 65.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…85aebacked Under | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Over | 45c | 55.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 47c | 50.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 72c | 47.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Over | 46c | 44.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Under | 56c | 43.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…0d96backed Under | 54c | 42.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 71c | 40.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Over | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 66c | 36.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 54c | 35.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 73c | 30.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 45c | 29.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 23.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 54c | 21.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 64c | 19.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 75c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Lakers won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.