NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19bfade91a604f0e334d4026b996048a8f5483c66c925e761efb24ebe1fe7e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Warriors, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Warriors | 49c | 14,418$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,064.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Lakers | 54c | 13,606$7,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,214.22 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 50c | 11,817$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.63 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 23c | 10,801$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Warriors | 37c | 9,998$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.75 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 50c | 9,802$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.02 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 67c | 9,610$6,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 50c | 9,584$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.13 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Lakers | 51c | 9,099$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.38 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Warriors | 50c | 8,830$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.99 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 21c | 7,629$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 46c | 5,136$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.97 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Warriors | 17c | 4,388$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.96 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Warriors | 41c | 4,201$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.27 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Warriors | 47c | 4,125$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.33 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Warriors | 36c | 4,055$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.01 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lakers | 73c | 3,936$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.68 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 53c | 3,576$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.83 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 51c | 3,253$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Warriors | 29c | 3,010$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.97 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 52c | 2,567$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.82 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…b09dbacked Warriors | 47c | 2,388$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 31c | 2,277$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.73 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 51c | 2,217$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.41 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 69c | 1,908$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.81 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Lakers | 69c | 1,754$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.99 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 60c | 1,683$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers | 69c | 1,232$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.9 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 50c | 1,098$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.27 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Lakers | 68c | 1,083$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.29 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Lakers | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Lakers | 53c | 904.75$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.23 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Warriors | 39c | 816.48$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.98 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Lakers | 68c | 721.3$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Lakers | 69c | 710.39$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 71c | 707.03$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.41 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers | 70c | 692.28$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers | 71c | 655.87$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.31 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Warriors | 50c | 599.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Lakers | 65c | 444.82$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 46c | 444.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Warriors | 50c | 386.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Lakers | 54c | 383.67$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Warriors | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Lakers | 54c | 360.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Lakers | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Lakers | 71c | 347.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Warriors | 24c | 315.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…ebd0backed Warriors | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 66c | 223.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 69c | 219.83$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 53c | 212.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Lakers | 66c | 205.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Lakers | 66c | 205.52$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Warriors | 51c | 192.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 45c | 180.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Warriors | 35c | 173.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors | 32c | 170.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Lakers | 68c | 169.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Warriors | 15c | 168.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Warriors | 14c | 164.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Warriors | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Lakers | 65c | 149.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Lakers | 66c | 149.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Lakers | 70c | 140.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Lakers | 71c | 138.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Warriors | 26c | 138.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lakers | 54c | 126.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Warriors | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Warriors | 47c | 120.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Lakers | 70c | 110.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Warriors | 28c | 109.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Warriors | 51c | 108.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Warriors | 14c | 106.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Warriors | 42c | 106.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Warriors | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Warriors | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Warriors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Lakers | 65c | 96.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Lakers | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Warriors | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Warriors | 42c | 94.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lakers | 53c | 93.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Lakers | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Lakers | 54c | 90.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…020dbacked Lakers | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Warriors | 51c | 89.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Warriors | 50c | 88.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…b865backed Warriors | 16c | 88.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Lakers | 66c | 82.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 65c | 76.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Warriors | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Warriors | 27c | 75.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Warriors | 31c | 71.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Lakers | 50c | 70.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…0961backed Warriors | 29c | 68.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lakers won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Lakers won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.