TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c9,387$6,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.832,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c9,050$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Under54c9,004$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,141.84845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under53c7,726$4,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,631.3543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over47c6,980$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.64134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c6,498$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Under52c5,957$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.267349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c4,869$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.2747856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over43c4,510$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.3920843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under70c4,028$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.713,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Under51c2,646$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.0714742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfac…75debacked Over48c2,018$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.81822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-57.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over19c1,859$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.431,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under51c1,431$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.8982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,300$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63721247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over16c1,206$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.411,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under80c1,196$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1710144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe80b…7e1bbacked Over50c1,158$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c899.99$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.771,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over49c870$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.35839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over9c836.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over20c674.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9714046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over31c610.95$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over30c549.11$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under69c545.61$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.842,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over33c477.13$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over49c450$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.251,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under53c425.53$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6411145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over49c399.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7425550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under67c393.06$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0831345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.311759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.318552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over22c313.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.431,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over28c309.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.291,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c306.37$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over35c300.6$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1613153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c290.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.525846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over26c286.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5493145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under54c268.38$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over24c260.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over7c245.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3710637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over18c234.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.898134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under62c211.8$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4821950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over20c209.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c205.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.191,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over19c196.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7537647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over31c194.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over21c191.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4627553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9410…3c5abacked Over48c184.53$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.57812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over17c173.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over32c163.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3932450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over15c158.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7310523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over16c155.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.319848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over47c151.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under54c151.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under74c147.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over26c145.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c145.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.822,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over16c133.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3241753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over14c126.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over23c125.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over23c118.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under69c109.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over26c104.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6536852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over22c103.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Over14c101.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.065855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under54c99.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8716450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Under75c98.3$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over14c95.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5511648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c89.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6845251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over29c86.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4321354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Over33c86.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.727057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under72c82.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5215562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c67.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under77c67.62$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3738751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over27c63.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3411143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.120144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under51c56.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4616048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over48c53.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.584847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Over27c49.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210345.6%47 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c46.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.752,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under51c43.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under76c41.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8611455.3%63 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…51dcbacked Under57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+100.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Under54c33.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.39346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Over45c32.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.518252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over36c29.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6711232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over48c24.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6318548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under58c22.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.57572%54 W · 21 L+11.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.48353%44 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under70c14.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2616867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.