AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8c893360fb69cc6261bcb142b05055689a9c2329f6e3bf3a54932c2ab1ead01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $914,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,113,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $914,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 608 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 79c | 52,876$41,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,364.12 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 14,935$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 70c | 14,685$10,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 10,358$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.93 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 64c | 8,998$5,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 75c | 8,532$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a95…2d06backed Yes | 71c | 8,396$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 72c | 7,502$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.41 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 67c | 6,827$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 6,600$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.37 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 41c | 6,587$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.25 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 27c | 6,552$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.98 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…5442backed Yes | 56c | 6,472$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 79c | 6,306$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.23 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 60c | 6,000$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.28 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 72c | 5,818$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.68 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…0a2fbacked Yes | 74c | 5,756$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 5,509$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 15c | 5,459$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.39 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 4,912$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 71c | 4,627$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.45 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 36c | 4,430$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.22 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 10c | 4,298$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…9dcdbacked Yes | 72c | 4,209$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 3,320$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.53 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 12c | 3,260$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d4e9backed Yes | 72c | 3,259$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 79c | 3,251$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.75 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 62c | 3,202$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…bcbcbacked Yes | 59c | 3,065$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d8…2874backed Yes | 72c | 3,036$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked No | 4c | 3,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…a3b8backed No | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…abdfbacked No | 8c | 2,900$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8600…ff1dbacked No | 9c | 2,880$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…98a6backed Yes | 66c | 2,855$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 66c | 2,838$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…80a7backed Yes | 71c | 2,704$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 68c | 2,649$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.14 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,585$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 28c | 2,581$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.63 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 67c | 2,551$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…c185backed Yes | 79c | 2,506$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…1076backed Yes | 66c | 2,393$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,282$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.17 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 73c | 2,278$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.39 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 4c | 2,206$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed No | 6c | 2,141$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…030ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,139$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 57c | 2,103$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…f7f4backed Yes | 58c | 1,878$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,656$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.77 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 59c | 1,654$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.13 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 53c | 1,617$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Yes | 79c | 1,616$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…d732backed Yes | 78c | 1,549$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…6d7abacked Yes | 66c | 1,545$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3f…41abbacked Yes | 75c | 1,504$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 74c | 1,498$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.4 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 65c | 1,484$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 33c | 1,446$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.45 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…86e9backed Yes | 76c | 1,434$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 69c | 1,396$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 27c | 1,357$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.17 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…fecabacked Yes | 75c | 1,356$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…7193backed Yes | 75c | 1,329$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,249$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…42e9backed Yes | 76c | 1,224$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed No | 42c | 1,188$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 31c | 1,137$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…06f3backed No | 20c | 1,095$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 59c | 1,080$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 72c | 1,065$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.04 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 71c | 1,026$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.42 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.59 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1277…13d8backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…a2c0backed Yes | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 73c | 999.99$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…fc92backed Yes | 79c | 985.46$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Yes | 55c | 975$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e5…7622backed Yes | 70c | 945.38$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 56c | 928.22$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 72c | 923.16$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…0f69backed No | 11c | 918.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…cfd1backed Yes | 65c | 915.25$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked No | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…abcfbacked Yes | 69c | 906.77$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 43c | 893.84$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 68c | 858.69$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 31c | 837.52$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 73c | 829.34$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 50c | 827$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…6521backed Yes | 61c | 821.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…9074backed Yes | 64c | 809.89$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes | 70c | 807.4$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…d9d6backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed No | 21c | 790.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b37…6962backed Yes | 73c | 754.22$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.22 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.