AI · resolved market

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0f3faeb3ac410b2b63739c39282a008263f2015cc909365ce6a788f3f5bfa48

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 31, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,867,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,319,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,867,517 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 899 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa445…0286backed Yes	1c	75,620$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.84	292	0.3%1 W · 291 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda31…2966backed Yes	18c	53,075$9,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,733.25	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-75%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x674f…df74backed Yes	18c	49,138$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7c…da06backed Yes	6c	45,571$2,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,554.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7002…5150backed Yes	2c	41,759$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7131…29ccbacked Yes	39c	37,152$14,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,449.15	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-38%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x183a…d514backed Yes	64c	36,345$23,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,094.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	5c	31,227$1,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,676.43	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+112.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2497…45e5backed Yes	25c	31,066$7,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,662.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc0…99f3backed No	39c	30,458$11,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,561.02	118	36.4%43 W · 75 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d73…bae7backed Yes	64c	29,956$19,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,103.65	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3560…1b93backed Yes	19c	27,000$5,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,046.63	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ec…0b6fbacked Yes	34c	22,961$7,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,915.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc451…2609backed Yes	67c	22,521$15,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,148.77	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.4wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf88…800ebacked Yes	74c	22,172$16,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,442.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes	63c	22,037$13,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,816.04	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09e6…24a1backed Yes	46c	18,940$8,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,676.35	109	33.9%37 W · 72 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51cf…603cbacked Yes	5c	18,856$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	8c	18,569$1,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,521.17	629	1.3%8 W · 621 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-88.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…b243backed Yes	9c	18,254$1,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,642.87	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes	56c	17,718$9,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,970.67	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	74cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c17…83c8backed Yes	20c	16,436$3,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,234.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed Yes	73c	16,210$11,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,828.2	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	16c	15,754$2,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,484.02	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No	71c	15,587$11,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,549.01	88	64.8%57 W · 31 L	+8.4wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes	25c	14,026$3,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,481.28	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb969…e149backed Yes	2c	13,881$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes	2c	12,999$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.69	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes	11c	12,847$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,430	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed Yes	69c	12,519$8,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,586.94	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ee…df72backed Yes	20c	12,477$2,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,508.3	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2f…1673backed Yes	0c	11,364$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75cc…b75abacked Yes	4c	10,283$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75a5…a5bfbacked Yes	28c	9,788$2,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,713.81	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cfa…671abacked Yes	23c	8,851$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	56c	8,609$4,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,792.87	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes	10c	7,901$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.53	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes	20c	7,500$1,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489.26	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	29cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed Yes	8c	7,479$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.34	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…f2c0backed Yes	16c	7,335$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.54	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb330…ff74backed Yes	17c	7,187$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.76	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2688…cb00backed Yes	5c	6,497$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.35	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes	8c	6,489$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.3	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb22…3c0bbacked Yes	14c	6,122$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba69…4961backed Yes	14c	6,112$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab9…beb5backed Yes	1c	6,112$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	25c	6,068$1,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,513.17	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.15per pick	26cpaid	+41%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f81…33a7backed Yes	22c	6,067$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec40…fce5backed Yes	38c	5,866$2,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,255.92	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a49…3ceebacked Yes	22c	5,614$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,216.74	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc09d…4788backed Yes	21c	5,595$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.26	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes	1c	5,479$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.04	243	15.2%37 W · 206 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66eb…dc59backed Yes	20c	5,330$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	13c	5,178$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.23	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed No	41c	5,164$2,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,047.55	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	34cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6395…6735backed Yes	15c	5,065$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Yes	41c	5,063$2,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,054.1	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	65c	5,013$3,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,737.14	479	38%182 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc488…3f68backed Yes	4c	5,003$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f87…d197backed Yes	47c	4,968$2,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,356.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b1…dbb1backed Yes	74c	4,922$3,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,635	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22c…1683backed Yes	8c	4,844$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3753…dc42backed Yes	67c	4,781$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+126.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked Yes	71c	4,713$3,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,363.04	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x465a…10a2backed Yes	3c	4,692$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No	27c	4,545$1,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,327	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…651fbacked Yes	22c	4,504$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a6e…0cf9backed Yes	30c	4,340$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.29	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes	57c	4,189$2,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,393.1	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-7.2wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x110a…38a8backed Yes	1c	4,020$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.28	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…3186backed Yes	8c	4,000$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x873b…dd51backed Yes	4c	4,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75f1…27f8backed Yes	0c	3,880$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe51…f4d6backed Yes	4c	3,849$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf74…b16cbacked Yes	1c	3,826$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Yes	15c	3,825$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…a3b8backed Yes	58c	3,771$2,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,171.03	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0d9…9074backed Yes	1c	3,758$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e7…89b4backed Yes	17c	3,742$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.73	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…5713backed Yes	4c	3,640$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9491…3344backed Yes	19c	3,634$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a7…9074backed Yes	9c	3,606$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.57	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes	29c	3,598$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,028.58	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed Yes	19c	3,593$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.49	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes	35c	3,566$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.34	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes	44c	3,510$1,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.42	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x498f…3a5bbacked Yes	18c	3,483$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x679c…f8ddbacked No	69c	3,338$2,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.53	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3da…4b5ebacked Yes	1c	3,337$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb342…9ad8backed Yes	5c	3,324$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee6…3a5cbacked Yes	3c	3,254$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes	13c	3,133$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.59	72	19.4%14 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-63%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ef…da30backed Yes	25c	3,121$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-88.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96e0…b648backed Yes	48c	3,094$1,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.7	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x328f…4079backed Yes	4c	3,081$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.06	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4b13backed Yes	1c	2,999$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88fa…a8c1backed Yes	19c	2,865$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.72	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7870…0d10backed Yes	20c	2,787$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked Yes	66c	2,700$1,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,784	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Yes	9c	2,666$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.94	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	13cpaid	+70.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?this page
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?No won
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?No won
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?No won
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes won
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?No won
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event