AI · resolved market
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeac4ec22f9ca445759238d91d12299b57c1256b32f4a563bfde36dbc1b5fddb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,660,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,285,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,660,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 1c | 109,608$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.41 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…03efbacked Yes | 7c | 76,879$5,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,606.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 51,814$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.76 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 4c | 38,602$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.39 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…b3abbacked Yes | 14c | 36,976$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 2c | 36,221$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.84 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…e789backed Yes | 7c | 34,959$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…c20ebacked Yes | 9c | 33,682$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…e149backed Yes | 2c | 32,313$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…5d6fbacked Yes | 5c | 32,127$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 5c | 28,861$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.35 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 1c | 27,261$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.46 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 23,950$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.4 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…ee2ebacked Yes | 8c | 21,796$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…afe3backed Yes | 8c | 21,196$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…4562backed Yes | 8c | 19,874$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed Yes | 1c | 17,019$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.19 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Yes | 2c | 16,503$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…5a75backed Yes | 7c | 16,195$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…6406backed Yes | 8c | 15,734$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 2c | 14,034$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.93 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 6c | 13,938$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.94 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cea…5f68backed Yes | 8c | 13,060$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yes | 9c | 12,291$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…a49ebacked Yes | 2c | 12,156$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…bc7cbacked Yes | 7c | 11,937$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…4961backed Yes | 7c | 11,486$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…203fbacked Yes | 9c | 10,667$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…13c9backed Yes | 10c | 9,660$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…3fb1backed Yes | 6c | 9,023$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 4c | 8,537$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…b721backed Yes | 7c | 8,366$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…d153backed Yes | 6c | 8,059$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…31c6backed Yes | 7c | 7,562$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce35…a226backed Yes | 7c | 7,014$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…6e83backed Yes | 2c | 6,925$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…379abacked Yes | 2c | 6,790$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…1fb0backed Yes | 7c | 6,789$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c6…2c1cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,788$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…2661backed Yes | 9c | 6,362$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e0…67fdbacked Yes | 8c | 6,200$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…36b0backed Yes | 10c | 6,060$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…ee41backed Yes | 9c | 5,863$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…2114backed Yes | 7c | 5,859$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…cb79backed Yes | 4c | 5,755$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked Yes | 14c | 5,720$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…b93ebacked Yes | 6c | 5,664$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee91…91b0backed Yes | 9c | 5,558$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…84a9backed Yes | 6c | 5,377$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…4477backed Yes | 10c | 5,145$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…2a7ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,140$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…da21backed Yes | 3c | 5,026$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…5624backed Yes | 12c | 5,001$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a8…1371backed Yes | 7c | 4,896$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…1335backed Yes | 7c | 4,431$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…0f97backed Yes | 7c | 4,331$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…b8e1backed Yes | 4c | 3,981$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…a3ffbacked Yes | 10c | 3,851$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…fee9backed Yes | 5c | 3,704$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes | 2c | 3,674$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2867…ebefbacked Yes | 3c | 3,496$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,453$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f6…c516backed Yes | 8c | 3,402$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…ba9cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,263$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…a939backed Yes | 8c | 3,217$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 6c | 3,160$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…a0d6backed Yes | 7c | 3,159$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…41f3backed Yes | 7c | 3,056$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0991…2ca3backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes | 7c | 2,994$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…c907backed Yes | 7c | 2,963$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…0468backed Yes | 7c | 2,847$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,760$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,729$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa47…6709backed Yes | 8c | 2,544$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…a11bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,437$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…205dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,195$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7717…fa4dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,167$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…5763backed Yes | 10c | 2,019$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…3e2bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,924$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 3c | 1,846$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08bd…8ba9backed Yes | 7c | 1,823$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…bd9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,807$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…20a9backed Yes | 7c | 1,789$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Yes | 10c | 1,776$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…7207backed Yes | 2c | 1,774$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…7ed0backed Yes | 9c | 1,770$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bc…f61bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,712$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da8…e315backed Yes | 6c | 1,676$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…3ba6backed Yes | 1c | 1,601$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 7c | 1,530$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…d944backed Yes | 7c | 1,497$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea8…25d6backed Yes | 9c | 1,487$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…7d46backed Yes | 7c | 1,483$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa34…b425backed Yes | 8c | 1,465$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?No won
- Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.