Venezuela · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c0e38f58b5ef35434b6faecf4c17eccb3327b2bc7efb14bbd33f038646a43b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 57c | 3,076$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80e…41c8backed Yes | 76c | 2,940$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 21c | 2,721$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.07 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 22c | 2,406$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 21c | 1,876$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…157abacked Yes | 77c | 1,729$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 77c | 1,289$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c0…3deebacked No | 24c | 1,236$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +106%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 32c | 1,190$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…92f8backed Yes | 61c | 1,187$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 22c | 1,014$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 24c | 999$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed No | 22c | 961.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 17c | 923.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 16c | 820.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +168%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 14c | 799.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.98 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…7cd6backed Yes | 60c | 740$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc419…1372backed Yes | 79c | 633.56$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…ae93backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 80c | 609$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 20c | 588$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 76c | 588$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 8c | 584.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…ce59backed Yes | 79c | 551$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 23c | 500$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed No | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 22c | 480.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.48 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…86f0backed No | 21c | 439.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…6fc0backed No | 14c | 388.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed Yes | 76c | 371.49$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 70c | 362.07$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Yes | 19c | 341$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 21c | 340.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 78c | 330.49$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.13 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 74c | 310.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 77c | 304$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed No | 21c | 300$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Yes | 75c | 300$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 22c | 300$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed Yes | 77c | 286.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 20c | 269.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed Yes | 75c | 264.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 23c | 260.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 78c | 256.38$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 23c | 249.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 22c | 247.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…3e09backed Yes | 32c | 241.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…83a8backed No | 21c | 239.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 25c | 219.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…c218backed No | 67c | 218.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…29eabacked Yes | 38c | 212.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…ebecbacked Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…af12backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…e158backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 78c | 190.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked No | 24c | 185.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 13c | 177.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 23c | 160$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…2dcdbacked Yes | 80c | 150.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 77c | 149.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9462…3d7dbacked No | 20c | 148.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 14c | 143.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…e62bbacked No | 29c | 135.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 18c | 131.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b20…25bbbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed Yes | 79c | 126.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…16d4backed Yes | 80c | 125.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…c41fbacked Yes | 74c | 125$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…103abacked No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc720…8f88backed Yes | 77c | 112.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd262…c312backed Yes | 15c | 108.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeee…6bf5backed No | 24c | 104.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +319.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 22c | 100.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8434…55fcbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b0f6backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…bb62backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yes | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…1dfbbacked No | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f2…c2adbacked No | 23c | 88.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +342%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked No | 23c | 85.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…afb0backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…68c3backed Yes | 79c | 82.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d5…a9ccbacked Yes | 76c | 79.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 13c | 78.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 59c | 73.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…0082backed No | 21c | 72.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.