Venezuela · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68303d339f961812753a5af8899df01adfcad7380a2625fa7b944e2ae30f9683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 18c | 1,582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 18c | 1,310$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.73 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 17c | 1,306$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 16c | 1,252$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…c232backed Yes | 14c | 719.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3803backed Yes | 51c | 705.13$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 77c | 657.5$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed No | 17c | 585.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cc49backed No | 19c | 573.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed No | 14c | 544.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +168%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 11c | 504.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…7eddbacked Yes | 43c | 489.03$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 474.43$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed No | 18c | 399.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed No | 18c | 368.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 20c | 350$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 58c | 297.77$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 11c | 270.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.81 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…5dcfbacked Yes | 18c | 265$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…096fbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Yes | 79c | 232.63$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…5e17backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 14c | 154.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…307abacked No | 32c | 154.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…78bcbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ec…2213backed No | 68c | 149.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 60c | 145.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…c218backed No | 52c | 124.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 64c | 122.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…c299backed Yes | 78c | 120$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked No | 22c | 119.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…5048backed No | 13c | 113.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 10c | 106$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x577f…3765backed No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…4d88backed No | 17c | 78.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 80c | 78.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…f3f2backed Yes | 80c | 72.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed No | 30c | 69.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 67c | 69.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…de5ebacked No | 17c | 68.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +258%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…9c81backed No | 25c | 56.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +298.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…3e09backed Yes | 60c | 54.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…3714backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…20adbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…0047backed Yes | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 75c | 47.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…3f5ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…607ebacked No | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…bc06backed Yes | 56c | 38.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 70c | 35.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…cbbbbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5d…4261backed Yes | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…0ebabacked No | 71c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…c143backed No | 75c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 75c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed No | 76c | 26.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0350…f978backed Yes | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…07e4backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83b…6c54backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…49e3backed Yes | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc80e…41c8backed Yes | 77c | 20.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…393dbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7dc6backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8539…82c7backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x303c…4487backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…8327backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0634backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…54cdbacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6893…12b5backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8124…938fbacked Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.