TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf94f…393d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 59 out of 100; worst Tweets at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+73.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+620%+$387.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$86.8
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$44.9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.12
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$57
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$147.82
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$25.84
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150.09
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+71.1%+$14.55
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$85.55
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+70%+$42.18
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+25%+$6.21
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+27.2%+$191.72
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+36.1%+$53
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$6
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.48
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.11
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+312.7%+$108.95
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 13 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.4%+$87.91
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.74
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+70.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$70.35
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19.28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$159
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$75.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colts sign Phillip Rivers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$6.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.