NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2469d78e18162cacf0e59e952895988fc30a95efdcbcded82b137c6fd393cd53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,665,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,746,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,665,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 834 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Hawks | 41c | 1,116,396$460,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 59c | 400,000$236,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 62c | 394,688$243,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,137.73 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Nuggets | 59c | 97,598$57,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,015.36 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 39c | 97,202$38,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,283.79 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Nuggets | 60c | 81,750$49,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,700 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 60c | 70,000$41,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,100.11 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 65c | 50,756$32,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,939.89 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nuggets | 39c | 45,000$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,300 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 56c | 41,132$22,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,133.95 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Hawks | 35c | 40,984$14,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,240.05 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 58c | 35,714$20,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,170.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…27a7backed Hawks | 31c | 34,490$10,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,692 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hawks | 43c | 30,607$13,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,168.19 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 33c | 29,219$9,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,527.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hawks | 36c | 25,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 60c | 24,814$14,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,022.61 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Hawks | 48c | 20,810$9,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,966 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks | 32c | 20,211$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.64 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawks | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Nuggets | 59c | 18,888$11,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,744.08 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks | 44c | 18,348$8,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,130.37 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Nuggets | 44c | 18,316$8,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,254.66 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Nuggets | 41c | 17,689$7,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,378.22 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 51c | 16,699$8,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,485.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 60c | 16,360$9,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,547.99 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 31c | 16,282$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.47 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Hawks | 33c | 12,284$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.91 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Hawks | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…2e89backed Nuggets | 53c | 11,000$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Nuggets | 57c | 10,033$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.24 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Nuggets | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Hawks | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hawks | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Nuggets | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Nuggets | 25c | 9,168$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,851.5 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Nuggets | 33c | 9,100$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.99 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 66c | 8,750$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.93 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Nuggets | 63c | 8,642$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 58c | 8,524$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.13 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 3c | 8,298$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…60d6backed Nuggets | 66c | 7,891$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.21 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Hawks | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Nuggets | 56c | 7,184$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.71 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Nuggets | 69c | 6,969$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.39 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Nuggets | 29c | 6,621$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4877…7f00backed Nuggets | 65c | 6,500$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Hawks | 31c | 6,323$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.17 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 58c | 6,143$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.77 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Hawks | 36c | 5,550$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.05 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Nuggets | 39c | 5,410$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 61c | 5,400$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.17 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Nuggets | 47c | 5,080$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.18 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nuggets | 66c | 5,014$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.67 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Nuggets | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Nuggets | 65c | 5,000$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hawks | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nuggets | 66c | 4,649$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.57 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Nuggets | 60c | 4,628$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Hawks | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 60c | 4,500$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.26 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks | 43c | 4,415$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.97 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Nuggets | 61c | 4,345$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.51 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,330$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.24 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Nuggets | 67c | 4,315$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.75 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 27c | 4,050$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Hawks | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Hawks | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 62c | 3,963$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.01 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hawks | 48c | 3,890$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.12 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets | 73c | 3,749$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.13 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Hawks | 35c | 3,713$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.46 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Nuggets | 60c | 3,711$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.63 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Nuggets | 61c | 3,603$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.36 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 60c | 3,582$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.93 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 64c | 3,518$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.11 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 37c | 3,493$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.46 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Nuggets | 59c | 3,485$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.83 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 63c | 3,351$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.61 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Nuggets | 68c | 3,333$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,227$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.73 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Nuggets | 59c | 3,176$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.16 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Hawks | 38c | 3,158$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Nuggets | 63c | 3,150$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.49 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Nuggets | 67c | 3,100$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 58c | 3,090$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.04 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Hawks | 13c | 3,085$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.25 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 68c | 3,020$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.4 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Hawks | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Nuggets | 65c | 3,000$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Nuggets | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Hawks | 40c | 2,819$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.6 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hawks | 1c | 2,523$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Nuggets | 63c | 2,505$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.76 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Nuggets | 60c | 2,500$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hawks | 78c | 2,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Hawks | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 59c | 2,460$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Hawksthis page
- Nuggets vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Nuggets vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.