TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Ducks, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,263,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,305,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,263,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 584 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Wild41c444,797$183,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,167.0422443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ducks60c170,475$101,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,468.571,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ducks53c158,687$84,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,376.3141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Ducks58c152,223$88,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,759.736352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Ducks62c127,907$79,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,481.5714650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Ducks61c89,820$54,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,794.8867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Ducks54c73,628$39,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,778.911644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wild44c66,621$29,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,212.2361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Wild39c64,068$25,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,956.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wild42c48,491$20,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,254.7451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Ducks52c43,181$22,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,620.198240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Ducks54c33,308$17,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,986.3811052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb569…ffdbbacked Wild38c24,800$9,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,376450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wild40c17,675$7,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,652.12,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc2…f610backed Wild44c14,000$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Ducks57c12,000$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,879.925552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Ducks59c11,830$6,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,984.275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wild42c10,726$4,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,185.212,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d1…8ecabacked Wild46c10,620$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,737.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Wild41c10,619$4,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,265.1564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Wild38c9,146$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,670.7626849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Wild38c8,931$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,537.2212047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wild47c8,500$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,51527850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Wild46c8,120$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Ducks62c8,094$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.4333450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Wild47c8,062$3,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272.739751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild47c8,000$3,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,23560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wild47c7,168$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,78443548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wild39c6,986$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.774957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild53c6,768$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,175.533,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Wild47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1808854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19a7…c608backed Ducks56c5,300$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wild60c5,259$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.42,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Wild43c5,212$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.397358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6a…a09fbacked Ducks56c5,100$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Ducks38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.98657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Wild47c4,964$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.833647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild66c4,819$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.411,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild57c4,625$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.372,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Wild49c4,490$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.88946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff50…69d0backed Wild47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Wild37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5206456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks17c3,877$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.0989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Wild48c3,717$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.6242948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61a…937cbacked Ducks56c3,600$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks57c3,355$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.3586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks4c3,107$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild42c3,091$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.741,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ducks55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Wild46c2,963$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.5219050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Wild50c2,497$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.892245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Ducks55c2,493$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.7833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ec…2493backed Ducks58c2,482$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd74…888dbacked Wild53c2,480$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.62445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Wild49c2,345$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.95949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Wild44c2,275$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Wild49c2,253$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.035541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Ducks57c2,172$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.7614553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Wild50c2,130$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.391050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Wild48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.9383652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Wild48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Wild42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9920450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Wild47c1,901$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.371643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd0…865fbacked Ducks47c1,900$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8933141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Ducks59c1,855$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10027044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Wild45c1,833$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.335855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Wild45c1,822$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.225052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Ducks58c1,800$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0443650%18 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Wild68c1,772$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+72.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild48c1,771$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.7647951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Wild47c1,730$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.412050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Wild47c1,685$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.216546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed Wild39c1,647$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.82944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wild47c1,600$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84445749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Wild62c1,587$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.1752172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Ducks40c1,537$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.0629448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x419e…8f3abacked Ducks4c1,525$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wild46c1,513$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.221,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Wild49c1,490$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.2841354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Ducks49c1,393$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.771656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Wild39c1,386$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.4617042.4%72 W · 98 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Wild58c1,380$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.5714946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Ducks1c1,347$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.091895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Ducks59c1,271$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Wild75c1,265$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7413850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Wild40c1,239$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.861136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Wild47c1,226$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.523151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Wild40c1,223$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.9311047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Wild51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Ducks57c1,192$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.4425555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Wild48c1,187$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.3322946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed Wild48c1,160$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.071942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Wild44c1,153$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.686845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Ducks49c1,151$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.26657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Wild38c1,138$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.566256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b13…13edbacked Ducks13c1,127$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Wild45c1,125$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Ducks32c1,060$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Ducks3c1,052$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.379321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.