NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b9120cf3e4eae705138b480327fd778287d8225b6aa41b9f3bdbf954338c5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Ducks, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,263,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,305,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,263,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 584 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wild | 41c | 444,797$183,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261,167.04 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 60c | 170,475$101,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,468.57 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ducks | 53c | 158,687$84,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,376.31 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Ducks | 58c | 152,223$88,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,759.73 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Ducks | 62c | 127,907$79,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,481.57 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Ducks | 61c | 89,820$54,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,794.88 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Ducks | 54c | 73,628$39,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,778.9 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 44c | 66,621$29,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,212.23 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Wild | 39c | 64,068$25,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,956.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wild | 42c | 48,491$20,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,254.74 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Ducks | 52c | 43,181$22,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,620.19 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Ducks | 54c | 33,308$17,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,986.38 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…ffdbbacked Wild | 38c | 24,800$9,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,376 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 40c | 17,675$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,652.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…f610backed Wild | 44c | 14,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ducks | 57c | 12,000$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.9 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 59c | 11,830$6,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,984.2 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 42c | 10,726$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.21 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d1…8ecabacked Wild | 46c | 10,620$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Wild | 41c | 10,619$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,265.15 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Wild | 38c | 9,146$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670.76 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Wild | 38c | 8,931$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.22 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Wild | 47c | 8,500$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,515 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Wild | 46c | 8,120$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Ducks | 62c | 8,094$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.43 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Wild | 47c | 8,062$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.73 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild | 47c | 8,000$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Wild | 47c | 7,168$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wild | 39c | 6,986$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.77 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 53c | 6,768$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Wild | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…c608backed Ducks | 56c | 5,300$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 60c | 5,259$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.4 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Wild | 43c | 5,212$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.39 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6a…a09fbacked Ducks | 56c | 5,100$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Ducks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.9 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Wild | 47c | 4,964$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.83 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 66c | 4,819$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.41 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 57c | 4,625$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.37 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Wild | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.8 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…69d0backed Wild | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Wild | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 17c | 3,877$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.09 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wild | 48c | 3,717$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.62 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…937cbacked Ducks | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 57c | 3,355$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.35 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks | 4c | 3,107$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 42c | 3,091$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.74 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ducks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Wild | 46c | 2,963$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.52 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Wild | 50c | 2,497$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Ducks | 55c | 2,493$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.78 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Ducks | 58c | 2,482$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…888dbacked Wild | 53c | 2,480$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Wild | 49c | 2,345$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.9 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Wild | 44c | 2,275$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Wild | 49c | 2,253$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.03 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Ducks | 57c | 2,172$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.76 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Wild | 50c | 2,130$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.93 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wild | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Wild | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Wild | 47c | 1,901$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Ducks | 59c | 1,855$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Wild | 45c | 1,833$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.33 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Wild | 45c | 1,822$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.22 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Ducks | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Wild | 68c | 1,772$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild | 48c | 1,771$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.76 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Wild | 47c | 1,730$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Wild | 47c | 1,685$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.2 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed Wild | 39c | 1,647$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Wild | 47c | 1,600$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Wild | 62c | 1,587$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.17 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Ducks | 40c | 1,537$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.06 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…8f3abacked Ducks | 4c | 1,525$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 46c | 1,513$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.22 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Wild | 49c | 1,490$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.28 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Ducks | 49c | 1,393$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Wild | 39c | 1,386$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.46 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wild | 58c | 1,380$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.57 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Ducks | 1c | 1,347$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Ducks | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Wild | 75c | 1,265$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Wild | 40c | 1,239$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Wild | 47c | 1,226$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Wild | 40c | 1,223$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.93 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Wild | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Ducks | 57c | 1,192$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.44 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Wild | 48c | 1,187$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.33 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed Wild | 48c | 1,160$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Wild | 44c | 1,153$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.68 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Ducks | 49c | 1,151$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.2 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Wild | 38c | 1,138$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.56 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…13edbacked Ducks | 13c | 1,127$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Wild | 45c | 1,125$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ducks | 32c | 1,060$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.11 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Ducks | 3c | 1,052$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Wildthis page
- Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.