NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb858513b05af146ecab69251900c4aa3e6613d3b7296afab0ad120254b948ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 46c | 6,731$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.88 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Over | 55c | 2,218$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 51c | 2,170$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.99 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,988$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.25 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 1,518$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 1,512$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.08 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Over | 54c | 1,329$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 52c | 1,137$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.96 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Under | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.48 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 759.59$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 740.47$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.56 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 679.29$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.67 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 45c | 455.39$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 349.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.71 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Under | 47c | 329.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0bcfbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 41c | 207.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 45c | 191.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 144.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Under | 47c | 131.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 22c | 95.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under | 54c | 83.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 46c | 62.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 21c | 61.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Over | 49c | 60.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…f155backed Under | 74c | 51.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 44c | 48.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 70c | 44.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 53c | 38.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 29c | 38.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…20ebbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 33.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…75e6backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Under | 69c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…29b6backed Under | 46c | 28.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…5659backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd8…534bbacked Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Under | 47c | 27.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 26.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…e6b7backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…a4a5backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…c0f5backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…d01ebacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…4803backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…9e6abacked Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. WildWild won
- Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.