TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Ducks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Ducks, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc29a…7816backed Ducks31c26,496$8,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,211.828240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Wild69c14,375$9,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,456.252161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Wild66c7,736$5,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.091384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+56.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wild66c6,246$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.7151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Wild69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8608854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Wild66c2,582$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.965541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Wild66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Ducks34c2,287$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.7211644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Wild66c1,458$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.1818453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wild66c1,445$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.432,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Ducks34c1,365$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Wild69c1,217$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.363151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Wild69c1,106$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7431148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Wild69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Wild69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34126154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Ducks29c1,068$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.854454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Wild66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed Wild69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+52.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Wild69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Wild71c985.08$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6722946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Wild66c890.55$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.795455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Wild66c742.42$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4210663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Wild66c692.36$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8311152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Ducks34c588.16$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Wild66c571.11$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.185957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wild68c357.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.561,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Wild67c331.31$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3334752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Wild66c325.23$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.587651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Wild67c276.42$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2233950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Wild66c242$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2826551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Ducks41c241.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8662447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Wild67c237.21$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.282045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Wild67c191.14$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.082759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Wild67c173.5$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.259849%48 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Wild67c173.5$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.258350.6%42 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Wild66c144.53$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1419050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Wild66c133.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.427149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Wild66c132.25$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.963863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Wild66c132.1$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.916550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Ducks38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.146139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Wild66c118.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3781157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Wild67c117.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.814955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild76c114.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Wild66c106.78$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.37454.1%40 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wild59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Wild67c96.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9211050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Wild61c94.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.048349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Wild70c88.67$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wild59c84.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.461,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Wild71c81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4921549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c7…cb87backed Wild66c78.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.652972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wild66c75.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7454260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…8680backed Wild66c73.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.022548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Wild67c72.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.948548.2%41 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Wild53c69.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.781,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Wild66c69.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.667448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Wild66c65.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.233660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ducks35c63.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.347024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Wild62c63.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9619141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Ducks39c61.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.053161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+56%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Wild66c60.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3821463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Wild66c59.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1956553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Wild66c58.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9823063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Wild65c57.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015650%78 W · 78 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Wild71c55.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.054065%26 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Ducks35c54.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.229054.4%49 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Ducks38c52.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Wild66c51.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6640162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Ducks41c48.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.774845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Wild66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1416959.8%101 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Wild67c42.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.916248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Wild52c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8369061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd8…7e8ebacked Wild66c39.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wild62c33.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.782,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…8ec1backed Ducks35c31.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Wild66c29.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9918949.2%93 W · 96 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Wild66c29.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.995352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b9…c5f3backed Wild67c23.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Wild70c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.910240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4daa…8923backed Wild66c21.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.332259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Wild66c20.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0636561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Wild66c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4686049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa6…42c3backed Wild66c16.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.661866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wild69c16.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.942,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.