TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c18…8ec1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.18
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.42
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$33.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$21.11
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.71
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+192.5%+$99.27
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.09
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$22.1
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.91
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$50.82
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.97
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$129.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.74
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.35
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.07
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.83
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.04
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.97
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.72
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$102.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Wuning 2: Omar Jasika vs Maximus Jonesbacked Omar Jasika · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Wuning 2: Justin Boulais vs Philip Sekulicbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.18
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.16
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.