NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa013023ca04881ef4d0013c15defbafb6f576254a6cfcb60f5db9dd22a9b945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,422,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,435,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,422,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 779 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 628,562$352,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352,144.52 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 42c | 243,258$102,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,089.81 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Capitals | 42c | 72,982$30,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,329.75 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals | 44c | 65,000$28,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,399.99 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 60,620$35,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,765.63 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Capitals | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets | 58c | 56,586$33,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,026.37 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Capitals | 42c | 51,737$21,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,007.29 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Capitals | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,500 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Capitals | 46c | 41,655$19,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,552.35 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 30,000$16,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,194.96 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 28,023$15,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,973.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets | 55c | 27,257$15,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,085.78 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…1307backed Blue Jackets | 0c | 23,945$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Blue Jackets | 58c | 18,000$10,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,440 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Capitals | 48c | 17,763$8,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,236.76 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Capitals | 41c | 17,028$6,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,046.52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Capitals | 43c | 16,126$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,125.54 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 47c | 15,381$7,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,187.09 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Capitals | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Capitals | 44c | 14,014$6,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,911.22 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 45c | 12,403$5,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Capitals | 41c | 12,360$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,238.25 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Capitals | 48c | 11,961$5,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Blue Jackets | 58c | 11,940$6,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,925.46 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Capitals | 41c | 11,830$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,979.7 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Capitals | 43c | 11,353$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,467.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Capitals | 43c | 11,340$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.34 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Capitals | 45c | 10,673$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,870.15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Capitals | 42c | 10,616$4,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.8 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d1…8ecabacked Capitals | 46c | 10,545$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Capitals | 41c | 10,207$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.18 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 45c | 10,180$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.2 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.96 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Capitals | 47c | 10,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,349.96 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…c7bfbacked Capitals | 45c | 8,573$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd3…d98bbacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 8,530$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…1ff7backed Capitals | 47c | 8,514$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…9dcabacked Capitals | 41c | 8,087$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Capitals | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Capitals | 43c | 7,534$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.84 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…5ffbbacked Blue Jackets | 57c | 7,100$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Capitals | 43c | 7,073$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.11 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Capitals | 44c | 6,749$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.36 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Capitals | 47c | 6,274$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.15 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Capitals | 46c | 6,000$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…433dbacked Capitals | 43c | 5,466$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 5,424$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Blue Jackets | 58c | 5,326$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.91 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 5,193$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.87 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Capitals | 42c | 5,057$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Capitals | 41c | 5,042$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.78 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Capitals | 46c | 5,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 44c | 4,911$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 4,798$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 46c | 4,500$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…a795backed Capitals | 47c | 4,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 42c | 4,319$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.1 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 4,310$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.75 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Capitals | 42c | 4,286$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.71 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 4,243$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.75 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets | 58c | 3,813$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.45 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 3,769$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.58 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Capitals | 50c | 3,704$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.94 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccf…67ebbacked Blue Jackets | 51c | 3,513$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Capitals | 45c | 3,511$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.75 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Capitals | 42c | 2,900$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 46c | 2,745$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.71 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Capitals | 44c | 2,697$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.6 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Capitals | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.05 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Capitals | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Capitals | 43c | 2,487$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Capitals | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 2,352$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.24 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 2,329$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Capitals | 41c | 2,285$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 2,251$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.23 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 2,232$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.69 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccd…a4cbbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 2,165$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fc66backed Capitals | 47c | 2,165$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Capitals | 42c | 2,143$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.86 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Capitals | 45c | 2,106$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.23 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Capitals | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Capitals | 43c | 2,006$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.3 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Capitals | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Capitals | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Capitals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 40c | 1,955$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.75 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Blue Jackets | 4c | 1,910$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Capitals | 27c | 1,846$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.68 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets | 57c | 1,816$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.21 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Capitals | 45c | 1,787$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.31 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Capitals | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.19 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Capitals | 45c | 1,643$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.51 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Blue Jackets | 55c | 1,619$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsthis page
- Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Capitals won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.