CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd0736221d510ccd33d55e48fcb92d52f2ae9cb8ced49efc349032c156aa912d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $514,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 197,203$148,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,337.24 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked HOTU | 24c | 147,754$36,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,138.52 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed HOTU | 24c | 141,058$33,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,798.48 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 19,052$14,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.3 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 16,745$12,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.25 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 16,386$12,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.76 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed HOTU | 29c | 11,320$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.07 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked HOTU | 19c | 9,182$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.26 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 9,111$7,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.78 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 8,439$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.28 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed HOTU | 34c | 5,111$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.69 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 4,686$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.56 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 4,644$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.49 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 4,532$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.36 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 4,456$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.5 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 4,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HOTU | 9c | 3,754$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed HOTU | 24c | 3,623$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.45 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HOTU | 22c | 3,416$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.55 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…494abacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 2,759$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 2,736$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.54 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 2,735$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.14 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 2,731$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.99 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed HOTU | 22c | 2,336$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.26 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…2baabacked HOTU | 22c | 2,219$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HOTU | 9c | 2,193$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 2,170$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.29 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,992$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.24 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed HOTU | 16c | 1,982$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.45 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed HOTU | 5c | 1,942$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 31c | 1,759$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked HOTU | 46c | 1,580$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.16 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,575$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.83 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed HOTU | 39c | 1,574$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.35 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HOTU | 38c | 1,439$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.76 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 1,389$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.55 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,266$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed HOTU | 45c | 1,264$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.06 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 1,254$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.97 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed HOTU | 8c | 1,210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.44 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 1,137$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 26c | 1,040$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.51 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,040$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.96 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed HOTU | 15c | 969.31$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HOTU | 15c | 918.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 862.98$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HOTU | 39c | 836.09$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.93 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 794.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.89 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 680.92$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU | 26c | 633.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked HOTU | 17c | 605.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…735fbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 576.84$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed HOTU | 30c | 574.79$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed HOTU | 32c | 569.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU | 22c | 557.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 498.48$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 497.84$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…f475backed HOTU | 11c | 475.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 467$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed HOTU | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked HOTU | 29c | 452.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 412.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 400$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked HOTU | 17c | 389.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 372.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 362.15$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 352.41$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…9531backed HOTU | 22c | 346.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 346.46$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 345.81$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 330.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…9ca4backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 320.19$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 304.62$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 303.81$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked HOTU | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked HOTU | 24c | 296.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 289.69$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 279.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 276.14$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 31c | 274.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 264.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0b63backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 261.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked HOTU | 27c | 259.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…d035backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…e6fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 258.85$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked HOTU | 15c | 251.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 237.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked HOTU | 19c | 235.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed HOTU | 23c | 235.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HOTU | 22c | 228.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 214.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…035abacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 201.89$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed HOTU | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.