TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
All Gamersof All Gamers, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked All Gamers31c13,583$4,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,372.0328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Bilibili Gaming68c8,500$5,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,744.9678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8061…a32bbacked All Gamers67c5,390$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.013378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Bilibili Gaming69c3,289$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.182045%9 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2837…39d8backed Bilibili Gaming64c2,501$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.572138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xec6d…9a95backed All Gamers38c2,067$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed Bilibili Gaming65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.753444.1%15 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed All Gamers36c1,906$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9219040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Bilibili Gaming66c1,789$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.5932047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked All Gamers38c1,684$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.951717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Bilibili Gaming50c1,559$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.3111152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed All Gamers32c1,550$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.7511255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed All Gamers39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9153745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Bilibili Gaming64c1,226$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed All Gamers35c1,224$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.4815942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Bilibili Gaming25c1,185$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.366725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked All Gamers35c1,154$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3611854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed All Gamers37c1,128$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.0423447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked All Gamers43c1,098$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.0425444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked All Gamers40c1,063$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.5945033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Bilibili Gaming54c1,040$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.5634857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked All Gamers55c987.47$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.5823644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Bilibili Gaming44c901.14$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.214152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Bilibili Gaming69c823.39$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.1411955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Bilibili Gaming64c764.76$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.1911458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Bilibili Gaming69c725.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.433770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked All Gamers34c693.41$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.6529733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Bilibili Gaming63c669.99$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.0553442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed All Gamers57c663.48$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.231,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Bilibili Gaming67c663.16$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.751250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Bilibili Gaming9c635.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Bilibili Gaming46c625$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bilibili Gaming69c591.78$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.336762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Bilibili Gaming53c564.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3410551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8737…a732backed Bilibili Gaming63c559.99$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Bilibili Gaming65c553.22$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3511559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked All Gamers42c528.48$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed All Gamers65c523.46$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Bilibili Gaming67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3352157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed All Gamers34c499.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9925347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Bilibili Gaming64c499.96$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.982934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Bilibili Gaming19c499.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1410946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bilibili Gaming33c476.65$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Bilibili Gaming69c412.19$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Bilibili Gaming68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed All Gamers32c396.19$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.413650%18 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Bilibili Gaming65c381.23$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0313642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked All Gamers56c359.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15935142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Bilibili Gaming68c330.53$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.764959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked All Gamers61c325.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2630835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Bilibili Gaming67c324.95$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.711553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Bilibili Gaming44c306.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7834739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed All Gamers46c301.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6226634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Bilibili Gaming52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15614447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked All Gamers48c298.79$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.261,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Bilibili Gaming66c296.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9219655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Bilibili Gaming68c294.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.082669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed All Gamers35c274.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4723151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked All Gamers35c274.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.474353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked All Gamers35c268.53$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.559052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f0…c7a9backed Bilibili Gaming36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.161050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Bilibili Gaming69c264.98$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.832646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Bilibili Gaming69c264.98$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.831855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf5…606bbacked All Gamers39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c3…a763backed Bilibili Gaming47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Bilibili Gaming58c249.97$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.747443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked All Gamers50c247.35$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6819157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed All Gamers41c233.08$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5818735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Bilibili Gaming69c231.61$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.813540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked All Gamers62c229.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.351,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed All Gamers50c220.79$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5117448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Bilibili Gaming45c219.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8419945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked All Gamers32c212.73$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6328747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked All Gamers50c211.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3316842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Bilibili Gaming69c207.6$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2522352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7541…334abacked All Gamers60c202.96$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.18922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked All Gamers59c202.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.168950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Bilibili Gaming28c202.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.713225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked All Gamers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked All Gamers34c195.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8214959.7%89 W · 60 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bilibili Gaming52c190.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5941537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed All Gamers54c184.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3442540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Bilibili Gaming18c183$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0226730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Bilibili Gaming67c182.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.532944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming58c173.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.731,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd116…c736backed Bilibili Gaming65c170.71$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.463855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Bilibili Gaming68c168$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked All Gamers55c166.87$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7921048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d57…8c1abacked Bilibili Gaming69c166.84$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.121070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Bilibili Gaming69c166.41$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.823764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Bilibili Gaming69c165.86$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.444555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Bilibili Gaming69c165.86$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.442245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Bilibili Gaming69c165.86$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.442356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Bilibili Gaming54c163.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf82…91ccbacked Bilibili Gaming61c159.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.682157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bilibili Gaming15c154.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5514533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Bilibili Gaming66c151.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.025451.9%28 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb00…2b37backed Bilibili Gaming66c146.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.983135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb63…bea4backed All Gamers35c145.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.323066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed All Gamers49c142.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.659953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.