Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7beffe9ec1002449885ca45748322b6360b20785cc56948bcb40b319aa82e67f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof All Gamers, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 7,096$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.01 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed All Gamers | 38c | 5,985$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10b…2f6dbacked All Gamers | 37c | 887.12$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 874.68$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.91 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked All Gamers | 22c | 820.71$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed All Gamers | 39c | 692.81$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.68 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 591.75$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 511.3$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 491.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.71 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked All Gamers | 39c | 467.88$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed All Gamers | 23c | 423.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed All Gamers | 37c | 353.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 344.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked All Gamers | 24c | 317.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…334abacked All Gamers | 28c | 285.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…04d9backed All Gamers | 13c | 172.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 160.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 133.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked All Gamers | 26c | 103.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 99.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed All Gamers | 37c | 89.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 81.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked All Gamers | 37c | 74.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…5da1backed All Gamers | 42c | 56.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed All Gamers | 39c | 51.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed All Gamers | 24c | 50.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…819fbacked All Gamers | 40c | 47.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed All Gamers | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed All Gamers | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaAll Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.