Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0482411f0ed1cc568b3382bd2ed584efc68e30de43b59fc8f5cf7d2b279ff3e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof All Gamers, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed All Gamers | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked All Gamers | 65c | 876.18$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 594.68$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.84 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 507.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed All Gamers | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked All Gamers | 39c | 467.88$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.41 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 416.32$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 375.02$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 334$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 289.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 257.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 217.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 213.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 202.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed All Gamers | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked All Gamers | 69c | 144.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 123.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed All Gamers | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 104.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Bilibili Gaming | 28c | 98.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked All Gamers | 42c | 93.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed All Gamers | 52c | 78.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed All Gamers | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed All Gamers | 40c | 68.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked All Gamers | 48c | 68.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 63.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked All Gamers | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 58.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked All Gamers | 52c | 54.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed All Gamers | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed All Gamers | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked All Gamers | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed All Gamers | 40c | 47.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed All Gamers | 52c | 44.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed All Gamers | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…294abacked All Gamers | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked All Gamers | 46c | 30.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed All Gamers | 62c | 23.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaAll Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.