NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0be070b886d605c4eaabc0ef574cb1fc7dce0f9ff884514600ffbd8166dddd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,477,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,431,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,477,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 907 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Rangers | 42c | 592,258$247,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344,651.15 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lightning | 56c | 537,751$303,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303,140.63 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Rangers | 44c | 322,931$140,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,067.84 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 55c | 173,341$95,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,030.87 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Rangers | 43c | 95,684$40,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,010.39 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Rangers | 40c | 88,379$35,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,192.9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Rangers | 43c | 71,608$30,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,105.88 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Rangers | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,500 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Lightning | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Rangers | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.98 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 57c | 48,382$27,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,453.83 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Lightning | 57c | 47,541$27,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,209.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 46c | 44,542$20,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,188.56 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Lightning | 56c | 41,168$23,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,154.08 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lightning | 55c | 36,908$20,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,448.71 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lightning | 60c | 26,740$15,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,984.6 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Rangers | 39c | 25,434$9,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,501.78 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…ffdbbacked Rangers | 41c | 24,900$10,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,691 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Lightning | 57c | 23,650$13,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,482 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Lightning | 56c | 22,871$12,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,807.76 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Lightning | 52c | 21,880$11,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,377.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 59c | 19,234$11,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,348.09 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lightning | 59c | 19,121$11,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,361.33 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Lightning | 61c | 18,115$11,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,049.89 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lightning | 57c | 17,942$10,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,315.28 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Lightning | 56c | 17,643$9,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,872.38 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Rangers | 43c | 17,089$7,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,740.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rangers | 44c | 16,776$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,317.96 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…9dcabacked Rangers | 43c | 15,885$6,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,029.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…c7bfbacked Lightning | 52c | 15,700$8,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,164.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 36c | 15,572$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,973.83 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 57c | 15,523$8,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,847.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Rangers | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 39c | 14,299$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.14 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lightning | 61c | 12,295$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked Lightning | 56c | 11,750$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Lightning | 56c | 11,700$6,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Lightning | 56c | 11,248$6,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,298.66 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Lightning | 56c | 11,136$6,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,236.16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Rangers | 46c | 11,000$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Rangers | 41c | 10,220$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.9 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lightning | 58c | 10,215$5,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,944.74 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 42c | 9,372$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.45 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.99 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lightning | 59c | 8,607$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.25 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 21c | 8,604$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.74 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…5ffbbacked Rangers | 61c | 8,090$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lightning | 7c | 8,016$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.12 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Lightning | 9c | 7,972$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Lightning | 60c | 7,800$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lightning | 43c | 7,203$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.27 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Lightning | 56c | 7,122$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lightning | 57c | 7,080$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.59 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Rangers | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…3d46backed Rangers | 48c | 6,233$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Rangers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…520ebacked Rangers | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Lightning | 56c | 5,850$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Lightning | 60c | 5,454$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.88 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Lightning | 58c | 5,445$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.71 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lightning | 58c | 5,413$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.36 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Rangers | 45c | 5,400$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Lightning | 40c | 5,302$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.76 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 60c | 5,290$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rangers | 44c | 5,009$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.22 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Rangers | 47c | 5,000$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Lightning | 60c | 4,982$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Rangers | 45c | 4,792$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.26 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Lightning | 61c | 4,723$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.69 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Lightning | 10c | 4,719$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.54 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Lightning | 9c | 4,716$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.54 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Rangers | 41c | 4,654$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.86 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lightning | 57c | 4,633$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.77 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Rangers | 46c | 4,338$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.4 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Rangers | 46c | 4,140$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rangers | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Rangers | 44c | 3,946$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.68 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 47c | 3,818$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Rangers | 39c | 3,818$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Lightning | 55c | 3,816$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.89 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Lightning | 54c | 3,774$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.12 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…9bebbacked Lightning | 57c | 3,768$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Lightning | 56c | 3,744$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Rangers | 43c | 3,715$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.41 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lightning | 60c | 3,707$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 18c | 3,655$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.71 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rangers | 74c | 3,647$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.11 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Lightning | 60c | 3,592$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Lightning | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Lightning | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…3de7backed Rangers | 48c | 3,502$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lightning | 7c | 3,457$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.3 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lightning | 31c | 3,362$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.56 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Lightning | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.48 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Rangers | 48c | 3,300$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Lightning | 26c | 3,274$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.65 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Rangers | 41c | 3,229$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.19 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lightning | 35c | 3,168$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.65 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Lightning | 8c | 3,034$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.82 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Lightningthis page
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.