NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b970cd0bf7858098f3275ba77733643697fc678da5593d1957f324179d247de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 51c | 203,762$103,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,881.56 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 49c | 136,922$67,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,091.71 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 49c | 74,223$36,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,323.29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 11,669$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.14 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 3,866$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.46 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 3,198$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.54 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 49c | 2,622$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.7 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 2,555$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.85 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 2,386$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.62 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 2,194$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.82 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 1,794$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 1,382$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.68 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 54c | 1,230$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.63 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 1,184$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.97 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Under | 35c | 857.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.26 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 50c | 749$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 51c | 726.31$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.92 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 52c | 552$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 49c | 534.07$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 527.39$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 49c | 500.56$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.27 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 53c | 466$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.02 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 450.16$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 45c | 363.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…e847backed Over | 47c | 315.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 54c | 297.45$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa031…25abbacked Under | 55c | 272.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Under | 24c | 269.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 51c | 268.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Over | 75c | 267.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.8wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 14c | 258$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.84 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 246$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.41 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 56c | 227.65$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596c…aa7dbacked Over | 46c | 217.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…5520backed Under | 55c | 181.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 51c | 107.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 63c | 95.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 23c | 91.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 51c | 86.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 42c | 86.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…d900backed Under | 55c | 84.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 83.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…bac0backed Over | 46c | 75.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 43c | 73.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a60fbacked Over | 46c | 69.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 57c | 66.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 56c | 65.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeac…2970backed Over | 51c | 60.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 29c | 58.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 55.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…8ba7backed Under | 55c | 53.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 53.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…6054backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…6a7ebacked Under | 55c | 52.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 54c | 52.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…b99bbacked Under | 55c | 49.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 66c | 47.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 49c | 46.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6783…73f9backed Under | 55c | 46.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…d21cbacked Under | 55c | 46.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…e929backed Over | 46c | 45.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed Under | 55c | 45.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…d666backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 64c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 59c | 43.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88c…26b7backed Under | 55c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Under | 55c | 41.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 55c | 40.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…02acbacked Under | 55c | 40.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 47c | 39.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…bc81backed Under | 56c | 38.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 38.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Under | 53c | 37.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…d201backed Under | 55c | 36.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5this page
- Rangers vs. LightningRangers won
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.