MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd2c3bdbf592dba56c6648d0b460e9f6de7adcdf013c14c9660ad9b89eadb7b

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Padresof Seattle Mariners, San Diego Padres
Resolved: Apr 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $308,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $304,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3522…188fbacked Seattle Mariners	52c	66,239$34,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,444.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked San Diego Padres	48c	60,992$29,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,715.86	210	40%84 W · 126 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners	52c	31,172$16,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,085.73	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28e…96febacked Seattle Mariners	26c	23,417$6,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,168.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Seattle Mariners	63c	11,730$7,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,332.69	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked San Diego Padres	48c	11,349$5,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,873.33	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Seattle Mariners	5c	10,057$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.86	310	39%121 W · 189 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners	53c	9,887$5,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,240.16	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed San Diego Padres	48c	8,073$3,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,198.13	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres	69c	6,252$4,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,939.43	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres	48c	6,016$2,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,114.73	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Seattle Mariners	52c	5,152$2,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,679.1	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres	77c	4,657$3,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.96	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres	48c	4,433$2,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,301.65	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego Padres	76c	3,919$2,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.75	852	35.8%305 W · 547 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres	48c	3,633$1,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.16	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked San Diego Padres	48c	3,628$1,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,897.33	1,041	50.1%522 W · 519 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked San Diego Padres	48c	3,522$1,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,831.23	113	47.8%54 W · 59 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners	52c	3,200$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,660.42	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres	43c	2,251$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.06	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Seattle Mariners	52c	2,059$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.55	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-10.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Seattle Mariners	19c	2,046$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.5	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres	72c	2,034$1,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.3	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres	71c	2,010$1,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.56	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Seattle Mariners	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.99	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked San Diego Padres	47c	1,961$922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.18	338	52.7%178 W · 160 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked San Diego Padres	49c	1,795$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.88	141	56%79 W · 62 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres	72c	1,792$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.96	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Seattle Mariners	1c	1,697$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	475	4.4%21 W · 454 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed Seattle Mariners	52c	1,671$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.92	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked San Diego Padres	49c	1,640$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.43	335	47.5%159 W · 176 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners	8c	1,517$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.4	1,865	52%970 W · 895 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked San Diego Padres	41c	1,513$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.64	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.0wins	+0.23per pick	46cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Mariners	12c	1,390$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.2	1,355	49.8%675 W · 680 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Seattle Mariners	49c	1,385$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.58	240	40.8%98 W · 142 L	-13.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres	51c	1,383$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.34	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Seattle Mariners	14c	1,291$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.39	332	28.3%94 W · 238 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked San Diego Padres	78c	1,269$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.46	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked San Diego Padres	49c	1,187$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.38	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Seattle Mariners	52c	1,050$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546	1,010	48.1%486 W · 524 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed San Diego Padres	47c	1,020$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.6	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Seattle Mariners	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked San Diego Padres	49c	969.4$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.39	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed San Diego Padres	73c	890$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.3	753	44.1%332 W · 421 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners	39c	866.79$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.24	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Seattle Mariners	3c	824.3$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	141	34%48 W · 93 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed San Diego Padres	48c	814.14$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.56	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed San Diego Padres	71c	749.16$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.94	422	41%173 W · 249 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed San Diego Padres	73c	680.71$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.79	135	49.6%67 W · 68 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners	46c	677.14$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.37	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed San Diego Padres	48c	662.98$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.75	164	53%87 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Seattle Mariners	49c	653$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners	15c	643.79$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.45	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed San Diego Padres	47c	638$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.14	308	44.2%136 W · 172 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…abe7backed Seattle Mariners	14c	637.35$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.08	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Seattle Mariners	52c	600$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	174	48.9%85 W · 89 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed San Diego Padres	80c	592.8$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.56	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked San Diego Padres	54c	578.31$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.42	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres	48c	504.58$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.38	327	42.2%138 W · 189 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed San Diego Padres	79c	487.38$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.35	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners	53c	485.9$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.53	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed San Diego Padres	48c	484.4$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.89	168	44%74 W · 94 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Seattle Mariners	7c	462.27$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.36	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners	60c	449.07$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.3	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…8e5abacked Seattle Mariners	4c	432.03$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Seattle Mariners	59c	413.31$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.85	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked San Diego Padres	48c	411.8$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.21	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…7a8ebacked San Diego Padres	52c	402.67$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.28	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Seattle Mariners	14c	399.97$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	71	28.2%20 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres	68c	390.4$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.58	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Seattle Mariners	52c	386.21$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.83	366	49.2%180 W · 186 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners	19c	380.04$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.39	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e9…c72abacked Seattle Mariners	52c	373.54$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.24	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ede…0a84backed Seattle Mariners	44c	361.52$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.72	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Seattle Mariners	19c	350.52$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	161	38.5%62 W · 99 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners	53c	340.13$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.27	411	52.3%215 W · 196 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Seattle Mariners	51c	337$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.87	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x639f…6911backed Seattle Mariners	8c	326.14$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed San Diego Padres	51c	317.48$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.44	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners	24c	307.81$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.86	555	41.4%230 W · 325 L	-26.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Seattle Mariners	57c	307.3$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.73	656	51.2%336 W · 320 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Seattle Mariners	7c	305.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.38	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Mariners	12c	303.83$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	483	39.8%192 W · 291 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked San Diego Padres	48c	293.55$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.64	507	51.7%262 W · 245 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Seattle Mariners	61c	272.17$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.02	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked San Diego Padres	48c	268.36$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.55	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked San Diego Padres	48c	262.38$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.44	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners	52c	258.66$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.5	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked San Diego Padres	59c	254.99$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.62	554	64.1%355 W · 199 L	+63.1wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Seattle Mariners	28c	243.06$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.81	157	40.1%63 W · 94 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked San Diego Padres	48c	242.2$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.94	404	49.3%199 W · 205 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Seattle Mariners	7c	241.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	452	46.2%209 W · 243 L	-18.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres	47c	240$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.2	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Padres	71c	235.54$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.42	650	50.3%327 W · 323 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed San Diego Padres	43c	235.09$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed San Diego Padres	48c	224.04$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.5	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x154a…86b0backed Seattle Mariners	35c	217.31$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.13	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed San Diego Padres	48c	211.93$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.2	674	49.4%333 W · 341 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aed…7896backed San Diego Padres	48c	211.93$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.2	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresthis page
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego PadresNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event