MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b7e6e728bbf11a3118e8a18b3926068387cc7c5b34723a191a2bba90599198c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Boston Red Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $500,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 229,858$128,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,708.41 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 186,189$81,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,265.75 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 150,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,999.83 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 69,781$39,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,077.35 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 17,893$8,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,768.02 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 16,276$9,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,172.94 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 14,824$6,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,153.02 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 12,349$6,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,787.96 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 11,740$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 10,431$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.6 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 9,539$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.61 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 8,867$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.36 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 8,793$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.57 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 5,761$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.65 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 5,426$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.19 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.93 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 4,818$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.63 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,803$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.14 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,565$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,931$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.25 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,880$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 2,367$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.67 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 2,220$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,189$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.09 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,158$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,064$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.05 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 1,980$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,933$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.37 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,912$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,893$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.29 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,846$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,791$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,751$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.37 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,683$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.44 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,530$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.77 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,304$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.2 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 1,274$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,246$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.5 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.93 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 1,149$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,033$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.61 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.79 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,005$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.75 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 907$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.12 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 751.07$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 711.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 676.9$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.3 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 639.1$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.9 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 588.02$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.41 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 570$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 540.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 520$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 507.56$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 503.7$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.03 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 492.2$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 492.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 8c | 491.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 487.52$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 482.32$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 435.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.93 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 421.83$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.84 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 394.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 374.22$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 349.8$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 344.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 340.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 325.89$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 322$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 296.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 273.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 261.74$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…6ad4backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 254.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boston Red Sox | 14c | 242$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 236.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 232.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 225.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 221.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 219.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 215.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 212.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…7f95backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 210.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.