MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c07f3b6321b6d712aee7942547e65631e21aa83d22f2d4345192b305ebdd0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $845,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $841,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $845,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 470,629$272,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272,943.95 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 136,075$56,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,138.85 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 118,354$49,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,097.24 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,000 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 47,600$19,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,608 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 36,409$16,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,389.05 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 32,611$18,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,261.96 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 23,106$9,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,170.68 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 22,407$9,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,771.74 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 20,352$8,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,865.48 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 19,126$8,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,521.74 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 16,807$9,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,747.99 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 15,721$9,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,261.48 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 15,673$9,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,080.2 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 15,298$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,872.62 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 11,871$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,647.9 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 9,412$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.45 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 7,909$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 4,393$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.93 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 4,260$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.69 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 4,013$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 3,994$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 3,961$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.69 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,710$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 3,691$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.73 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 3,333$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.81 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 2,946$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.04 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 2,905$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.01 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 2,799$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.75 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,372$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 2,320$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.19 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 2,247$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.99 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 2,213$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 2,163$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 2,092$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.29 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…7b2abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,012$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.97 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,890$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 1,523$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,472$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.7 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,462$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 1,425$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.61 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 1,314$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.64 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,268$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.77 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,250$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.08 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 1,223$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,209$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.05 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.12 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,057$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,010$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…7bdabacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 975.18$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.38 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 968.92$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.98 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 966.4$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 958.77$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.69 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 944.68$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.26 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 944.41$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 907.41$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.56 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 888.69$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.93 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 856.94$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.75 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 851.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 844.53$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.04 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 833$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 832.59$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 827.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 784.11$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 774.17$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.27 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 773.88$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.72 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 765.57$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 749.96$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.23 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 720.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 684.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 652.24$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.59 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 650.3$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.05 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 649.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 635.5$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.23 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 626.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 623.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 617.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 616.37$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.56 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 613.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 613.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 612.17$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 597.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 578.87$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 578.51$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 564.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.3 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.