TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $140 in November?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79fd…78cebacked No13c19,307$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.842138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed No1c15,100$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15112824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes47c10,235$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.363835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No50c7,570$3,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,786.929126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe4…3a16backed Yes67c7,205$4,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb32…b646backed Yes47c6,796$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,607.033557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes43c5,758$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,259.795837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed No32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6004839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes53c4,733$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.3332524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9527…01ffbacked No64c4,575$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.8650%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes36c4,550$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90835123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes51c3,007$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.244721.3%10 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9003…92fcbacked No36c2,331$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x979d…189bbacked Yes65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70012100%12 W · 0 L+5.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+139.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8807163.4%45 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked No41c1,569$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.0817229.7%51 W · 121 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes42c1,545$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.925735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f0…4e2abacked No73c1,445$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a7…49f7backed No72c1,430$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.29546.3%44 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x140a…ef1bbacked Yes38c1,100$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.991190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.39per pick52cpaid+149.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed No3c1,020$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121236.8%78 W · 134 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9912…4f03backed Yes67c1,015$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+136.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9814075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed No17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17012020%24 W · 96 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8fd…6b3abacked No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4103847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes50c999.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.633839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b1…a301backed Yes56c892.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No54c690$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.84949%24 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf265…99c9backed No61c629.21$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes69c586.39$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8155032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes59c514.45$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1316729.3%49 W · 118 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes40c500.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce2…3c96backed Yes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33013038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x277e…7d32backed Yes74c500$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1313786.5%32 W · 5 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+31.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed No46c495.74$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7319439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No9c474$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.861693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No50c401$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.135545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes37c400$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No68c399.75$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.832975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd891…fb07backed No62c321.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfde…4006backed Yes39c319.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.73458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes12c300$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641519.9%15 W · 136 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed No65c300$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick73cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3213…dd1fbacked No48c299.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.983253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8033…4795backed Yes34c249.16$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick33cpaid+159.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fae…8e64backed No23c228.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes12c213.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1886761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+94%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabc5…5e68backed No39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8b…1ea1backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No47c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9517953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes26c192.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6930531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0edc…f3edbacked No70c185.71$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed No54c183.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07e3…66dcbacked Yes57c174$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbb…a41abacked No51c147.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ff…7e02backed Yes58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.934542.2%19 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes59c121.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.691866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9390…6d48backed Yes48c116.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7475…2edfbacked No51c111.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2173…2869backed No60c108.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No54c107.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.696250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes19c105.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.391,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes13c105.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9210545.7%48 W · 57 L+22.9wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+94.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x0258…13bfbacked No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718162.4%113 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x723e…ba7fbacked No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f5f…e7f9backed No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba9…8920backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+272.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f7…f6f2backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefca…b420backed No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c7…e71dbacked Yes58c93.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b7…169bbacked Yes65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2727…49bdbacked No71c91.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a57…eb48backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e7…c30fbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa103…1b30backed No76c78.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed No51c76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.767835.9%28 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe04…9a42backed Yes53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.473435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3345…fcb4backed No69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ae…f572backed Yes69c72.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf245…1df4backed Yes31c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.32520%5 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed Yes54c66.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.315971.2%42 W · 17 L+11.1wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb3bd…afbcbacked No50c65.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6350%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f1a…1f35backed Yes50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26df…8cbabacked No44c60.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54e…9598backed Yes56c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67065.7%46 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7328…b3edbacked Yes47c59.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No49c57.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.364526.7%12 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+197.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4ec…909fbacked Yes55c57.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…6fb6backed No54c57.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe5…8fd8backed Yes63c56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd089…d141backed No54c55.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8740%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69c5…e387backed Yes57c54.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88dc…30cbbacked No54c53.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked No51c53.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.214742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8c…52ccbacked Yes49c53.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.