Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $90 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1151fcc78e34ea2556af79e92b6ed90a1e71455f70b26873f6c6e732dc9a9fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 6c | 36,717$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.88 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 2c | 22,372$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.94 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc577…1f0bbacked Yes | 7c | 20,850$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 6c | 12,298$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.36 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 10,338$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.75 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 9,714$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 9c | 7,943$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.75 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…9c34backed Yes | 3c | 6,791$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…7764backed Yes | 2c | 6,250$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…c5e8backed Yes | 4c | 5,969$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…b48cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,308$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 5,256$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…4a81backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a75cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,637$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.11 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 4c | 3,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 5c | 3,112$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…2918backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…c734backed Yes | 12c | 2,423$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dda…e56abacked Yes | 2c | 2,101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 4c | 2,092$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 2,075$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,035$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…7e78backed Yes | 2c | 1,783$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 3c | 1,613$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe631…cb8dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,607$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9626…b5dabacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f60…4bd4backed Yes | 3c | 1,482$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed Yes | 2c | 1,375$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…1499backed Yes | 7c | 1,298$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…205abacked Yes | 2c | 1,272$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…ea74backed Yes | 6c | 1,204$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf90…9345backed Yes | 4c | 1,113$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6d…e408backed Yes | 2c | 1,106$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…e972backed Yes | 6c | 1,081$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…c1b5backed Yes | 4c | 1,030$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…e07bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…93d0backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…89b4backed Yes | 5c | 934.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…4f13backed Yes | 7c | 761$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…91debacked Yes | 5c | 756.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…b95dbacked Yes | 4c | 650$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…53debacked Yes | 5c | 629.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…0acabacked Yes | 4c | 595$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 5c | 565.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…e731backed Yes | 3c | 547.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…583fbacked Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…6af5backed Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…dd50backed Yes | 4c | 499$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…2f05backed Yes | 3c | 494.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…f61dbacked Yes | 4c | 489.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 480.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…8b64backed Yes | 4c | 397.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…ff71backed Yes | 6c | 375.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +273.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…349abacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…c5bcbacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…c7e7backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…d5c0backed Yes | 4c | 286.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 5c | 217.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 12c | 213.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…4464backed Yes | 8c | 204.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…0366backed Yes | 6c | 180.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…b7d2backed Yes | 7c | 179.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…3830backed Yes | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…58b0backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…8200backed Yes | 10c | 141.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…1f14backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $90 in November?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $240 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.