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Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $120 in November?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$923,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$895,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes18c120,421$21,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,696.135123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b6…80b9backed No58c54,545$31,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,782.571154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes36c22,482$8,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,138.92933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes5c20,881$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.31198.4%10 W · 109 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+90.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes30c14,656$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.8812824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…7314backed No64c11,116$7,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes2c10,802$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.34170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f1…2417backed Yes29c10,497$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.951513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4b…1a6bbacked Yes2c9,608$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes5c9,301$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.03290%0 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4735…ed50backed Yes1c8,197$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1307…bd75backed Yes25c7,937$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.691631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick16cpaid+80%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No65c7,708$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698.555032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c7,431$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.891,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes42c5,367$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.0132524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Yes5c5,069$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.252416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…5941backed No70c4,435$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea63…1ebcbacked Yes45c4,282$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.86560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes40c4,187$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.44721.3%10 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a2…d2e7backed Yes1c4,020$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes24c3,964$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.275837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed No59c3,557$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.183925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8666…d7c7backed No68c3,210$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.165933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a99…a499backed Yes59c2,990$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.72650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes15c2,911$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4718425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x524c…6b4fbacked No37c2,699$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+68.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No43c2,538$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.412736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fca…7033backed Yes2c2,467$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No58c2,351$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.1129126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6702…2539backed No59c2,243$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes46c2,224$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0163847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No41c2,199$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.4114075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf916…e968backed No54c2,085$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes1c2,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410545.7%48 W · 57 L+22.9wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+94.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf6b7…8999backed Yes4c1,891$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5d…be63backed Yes23c1,706$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.872015%3 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes11c1,607$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3630531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ca…a461backed Yes24c1,572$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.452429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.632454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931a…6c03backed No61c1,398$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No53c1,330$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.023164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe9…bb0abacked No58c1,304$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.8416729.3%49 W · 118 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes3c1,283$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.891431.4%2 W · 141 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…ae5fbacked Yes69c1,250$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86470%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac9d…b8c6backed Yes27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes24c1,182$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.234526.7%12 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+197.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No68c1,120$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.74949%24 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d7…eaf2backed Yes50c1,086$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.0170%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16ac…ab83backed Yes1c1,046$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f3…5dbdbacked Yes4c1,030$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fce…305bbacked No53c1,000$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4672646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed Yes77c957.49$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.4816761.7%103 W · 64 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x230e…f3edbacked Yes20c947$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x188a…92bfbacked Yes2c946.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…8526backed Yes2c888$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe578…9bc8backed Yes2c864.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6d…e408backed Yes2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed No62c799.99$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.61040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x442d…523ebacked Yes1c799.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85320%0 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd781…82bfbacked Yes38c797.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2721…325bbacked No49c778$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.41844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+95.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d76…33dbbacked Yes1c740$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3660%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x838b…a75cbacked Yes27c716.59$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4300%0 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0867…c3abbacked Yes2c700$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed No44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39234848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aed…46fabacked Yes30c680$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.96200%0 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes49c666.55$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0217229.7%51 W · 121 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36e6…d88ebacked No59c623.77$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes46c620$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+76.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No66c607.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.52975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd91c…3830backed Yes21c600$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ec…6d7abacked No77c580.71$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…55b0backed Yes14c580$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4531…25c7backed No57c560.4$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed No43c544.77$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.215971.2%42 W · 17 L+11.1wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x10f8…bed5backed Yes11c525.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.23825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-63.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No80c509.95$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.099054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes25c500$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12318315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0894…cf93backed No64c500$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc5…7e5ebacked Yes21c466.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed No72c416.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9c…5176backed Yes24c411.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6d…5144backed No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…ec0ebacked Yes58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes45c390.14$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.175822.4%13 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb35…8e10backed Yes79c379.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfde…4006backed Yes64c370$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.013458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe278…58b0backed Yes5c368.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes11c355.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.781693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e9…8f9fbacked Yes52c354.24$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.362045%9 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+56.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bd1…abdfbacked Yes28c349.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e5…e161backed Yes6c345.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa730…dd50backed Yes30c338.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+67.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeef…9bb9backed No69c331.63$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.751258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f9…fbbdbacked Yes17c329.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed No62c323$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.742965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Yes39c315.66$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.311861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe697…62fbbacked No76c283.94$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3d…267ebacked No74c281.72$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.