Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $220 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbe42eca135133d7c7c23693014997a338413bfb960aa627ccc075ff3f3f9ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 4c | 22,011$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.21 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,772$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05af…1e04backed Yes | 2c | 5,569$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6824…f6e6backed Yes | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,166$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 2c | 2,853$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,311$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.31 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 2c | 2,223$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…38cebacked Yes | 6c | 2,078$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,836$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 8c | 1,606$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 5c | 1,564$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 1,509$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…83f6backed Yes | 4c | 1,386$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…83e1backed Yes | 16c | 1,343$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fa…5d03backed Yes | 13c | 1,165$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…d9e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,162$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,074$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 10c | 681.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 681.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 3c | 642.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 475.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…cf64backed Yes | 4c | 370.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…58e8backed Yes | 11c | 370$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…8a09backed Yes | 15c | 341.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes | 17c | 302.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…aee3backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5d…be63backed Yes | 12c | 244.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 15c | 238.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 9c | 219.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…0951backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…c1b5backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 62c | 199.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…1df1backed No | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes | 7c | 179.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 9c | 178.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 7c | 175.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…402cbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…fa03backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…8ebdbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 30c | 111.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…38e7backed Yes | 27c | 91.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…c5abbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f7…f6f2backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $220 in November?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $240 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.