Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $260 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8ee95228cbb87fe47cf51590b8b75982408bf4ec017908dffea65a3416eda4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 25,306$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 22,900$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 3c | 14,382$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.29 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…9d46backed Yes | 2c | 10,200$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,015$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 7,615$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a75cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,116$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…1953backed Yes | 3c | 6,479$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 1c | 6,418$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a9…12a7backed Yes | 3c | 5,520$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…a876backed Yes | 3c | 5,313$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9871…b57ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,190$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 5,110$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,512$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…faafbacked Yes | 2c | 3,500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 4c | 2,878$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…7f5bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…b36abacked Yes | 2c | 1,666$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 1,658$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…99dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,491$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…c1b5backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad4…5fd3backed Yes | 8c | 1,137$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…8e89backed Yes | 1c | 1,068$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 8c | 1,006$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…df8cbacked Yes | 3c | 696.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c999backed Yes | 4c | 666$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 665.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…7a75backed Yes | 5c | 645$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 2c | 643.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…8526backed Yes | 4c | 390$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 6c | 360$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 13c | 271.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…e8d3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $260 in November?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $240 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.