Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $210 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51bc5eded92e8e8845abd8d7b75d12da6fdfad02f25a98c615541d39405977b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc9…fbf6backed Yes | 3c | 47,960$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…2d73backed Yes | 21c | 25,334$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 77c | 24,167$18,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,448.85 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 7c | 15,966$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.41 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…b646backed No | 74c | 15,092$11,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.85 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aec…615dbacked Yes | 48c | 11,498$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,521.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 3c | 5,080$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…83e1backed Yes | 24c | 4,122$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5840…fb16backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 12cpaid | +270.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,592$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,281$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a2…7967backed Yes | 27c | 1,121$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…d84cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…9601backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 17c | 899.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 12c | 850$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 836$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…58e8backed Yes | 15c | 788.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 4c | 683.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 1c | 678.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 17c | 586.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked No | 78c | 583.2$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 31c | 581$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 46c | 553.61$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.52 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…1e99backed Yes | 22c | 405.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…82c2backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…c002backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…46afbacked Yes | 61c | 328.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 74c | 315$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 26c | 267.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…38e7backed Yes | 18c | 226.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed No | 80c | 224$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5d…be63backed Yes | 13c | 222.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked No | 78c | 221$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 21c | 215.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…e7edbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed No | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…ba7fbacked No | 47c | 199.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…799dbacked No | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…0237backed Yes | 21c | 169$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…e7a6backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…e0cdbacked Yes | 30c | 134.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…72e0backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…089bbacked Yes | 14c | 109.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…04d2backed No | 77c | 106.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…0cecbacked Yes | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…7ec2backed Yes | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…2b47backed No | 78c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 76c | 64.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…06aebacked Yes | 54c | 62.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…d1c2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…767fbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…7ddabacked No | 51c | 57.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…7294backed Yes | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…4ef1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…0a8fbacked Yes | 53c | 48.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…73b7backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…58c7backed Yes | 53c | 47.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1964…5461backed No | 78c | 43.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…0d84backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…fe52backed No | 48c | 37.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed3…a7eebacked No | 76c | 33.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…8cc4backed Yes | 55c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…35c2backed No | 77c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…52e1backed Yes | 47c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…7943backed Yes | 54c | 23.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…a809backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…b825backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $210 in November?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $240 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.