TailMyPicks
Market

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $110 in November?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$509,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$501,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes9c84,660$8,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,040.7435123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes5c15,787$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.79290%0 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c13,225$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.661,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes8c9,845$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.521198.4%10 W · 109 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+90.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc577…1f0bbacked Yes25c9,233$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.7570%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d80…55c3backed Yes27c7,880$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.74425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac9…ca59backed Yes33c6,918$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.172920.7%6 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No65c6,685$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.8129126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aed…46fabacked Yes11c6,300$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.31200%0 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No76c5,612$4,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.0355032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3d…f1e6backed Yes19c4,625$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ca…a461backed Yes8c4,532$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.452429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0276…19d8backed Yes5c4,384$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc13…9c34backed Yes2c3,622$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7270%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7f…2f05backed Yes12c3,380$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.153514.3%5 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes12c3,100$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.518315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes26c3,019$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.733847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes17c2,972$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.185514.5%8 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838b…a75cbacked Yes15c2,684$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.62300%0 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5784…effebacked Yes12c2,600$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid+53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No60c2,000$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes6c1,957$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.16170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd824…89b4backed Yes18c1,891$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.771811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a0…be02backed Yes18c1,681$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…ae5fbacked Yes35c1,600$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55470%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes26c1,542$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes7c1,482$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7518425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed No69c1,461$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.37650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes14c1,442$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.664526.7%12 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+197.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a99…a499backed Yes30c1,347$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010b…81dcbacked Yes19c1,342$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.564837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e4…86afbacked No77c1,293$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes22c1,266$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.464721.3%10 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91c…3830backed Yes9c1,260$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b30…ef81backed Yes15c1,194$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb836…9e4ebacked Yes26c1,153$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+122.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8144…4c28backed Yes1c1,033$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b8…63acbacked Yes24c1,030$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-86%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…ae93backed Yes9c1,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d7…eaf2backed Yes28c1,000$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27770%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Yes6c967.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603537.1%13 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6877…de8abacked Yes8c950$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.351513.3%2 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes5c838.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3525824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77cf…4a81backed Yes3c800$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.290%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf274…37f4backed Yes13c779$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.175612.5%7 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d9…205abacked Yes8c634.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.74147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-74.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes3c613.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281431.4%2 W · 141 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ba…0918backed Yes13c610.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.56616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes41c597.73$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.621030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d4…e8aabacked No79c585.03$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e9…8f9fbacked Yes17c584.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.162045%9 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+56.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x302e…30eabacked Yes17c580.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…39f1backed Yes18c576.3$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes32c571$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4517229.7%51 W · 121 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf599…031cbacked Yes8c567.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3081…b1f6backed Yes12c544.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6840%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fc…7a39backed Yes17c541.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca80…eb6dbacked Yes7c514.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6903…b6f9backed Yes40c495.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ccc…4825backed Yes14c493.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes19c428.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.421693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…8e10backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Yes10c402.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6322…7e78backed Yes24c400$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.41020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-72.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes25c400$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.254621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes15c399.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615822.4%13 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf97e…da44backed Yes10c396.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No72c354.19$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.471861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe631…cb8dbacked Yes22c347.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed No66c346.27$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8419439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a8…4049backed Yes6c340$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe278…58b0backed Yes5c322.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1580%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb33e…740bbacked Yes43c305.78$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936e…9b41backed Yes26c300.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…13bfbacked No78c300$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.218162.4%113 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes7c299.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81519.9%15 W · 136 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe95d…ca9fbacked Yes9c291.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084e…4102backed Yes36c274.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ae…f572backed Yes14c270.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.961060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9921…0082backed Yes18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc258…f0eabacked Yes16c244.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ba…3d9cbacked Yes8c243.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.451723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbe…b616backed Yes19c234.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e3…300ebacked Yes22c231.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-77%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa023…3720backed Yes7c219.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde71…0a40backed Yes9c219.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.36425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5d…be63backed Yes22c204.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452015%3 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00c…0fe2backed Yes19c203.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.821723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes15c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+85.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xde79…06abbacked Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43215.6%5 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd042…215fbacked No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.813038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b74…8496backed Yes20c189.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…951fbacked Yes18c185.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.35633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes25c184.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2164812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes22c182.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-80.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec1…4464backed Yes19c176.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…39e5backed Yes45c173.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa9…bad5backed Yes22c168.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5890%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d26…06dabacked Yes18c165.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.