Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $200 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5095f9041b0013d72ebed778a76007f890dcb3dfe87317cc7a399aea7309b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 78c | 22,510$17,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.69 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fbf6backed Yes | 6c | 15,544$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…b646backed No | 75c | 15,015$11,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.22 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 8c | 10,800$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.79 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 9,270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…2be3backed Yes | 2c | 7,620$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…83e1backed Yes | 16c | 7,452$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…1e47backed Yes | 75c | 4,974$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 25c | 4,968$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 6c | 4,007$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 43c | 3,136$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.97 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 3,010$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…cf78backed Yes | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.96 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…cf64backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 7c | 1,438$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,359$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,345$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…71cabacked Yes | 4c | 1,337$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…38cebacked Yes | 12c | 1,143$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…58e8backed Yes | 18c | 1,108$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…2ea8backed No | 69c | 1,036$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 1,011$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…d9fabacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 2c | 999.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 16c | 934.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…43a7backed Yes | 2c | 926$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…da0abacked Yes | 15c | 809.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…01f0backed Yes | 37c | 809.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…83f6backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 67c | 700$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 73c | 685$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes | 24c | 676.4$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…e02dbacked No | 55c | 572.71$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed No | 79c | 562.99$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…0951backed Yes | 11c | 543.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…05bfbacked No | 74c | 510.89$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…c8d5backed Yes | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 3c | 499.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 73c | 481.46$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed Yes | 33c | 461.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 15c | 460.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 22c | 415.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5d…be63backed Yes | 20c | 407.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 80c | 373.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 76c | 369.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 358.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Yes | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…cef1backed Yes | 3c | 323.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…7da1backed Yes | 4c | 299.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb576…195bbacked Yes | 28c | 296.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…98babacked Yes | 35c | 286.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 9c | 255.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…8e34backed Yes | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 4c | 236.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…ea78backed No | 72c | 219.18$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…c651backed Yes | 6c | 213$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…0dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f7…f6f2backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfa…a987backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…fe13backed Yes | 32c | 195$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…bd19backed Yes | 12c | 190$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…9386backed Yes | 19c | 179.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…38e7backed Yes | 31c | 178.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0948…0ea6backed Yes | 21c | 176.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…fe65backed Yes | 22c | 170.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…dc94backed Yes | 30c | 169.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6d48backed Yes | 32c | 162.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4a…65dabacked Yes | 32c | 159.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…d15cbacked Yes | 19c | 154.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…fa2abacked Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…f456backed No | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…0237backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb0…fdc3backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…77fdbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…fc04backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 45c | 125.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…58c7backed Yes | 23c | 124.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…e4efbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…ba7fbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…6c8dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…56abbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…5961backed No | 77c | 95.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…7294backed Yes | 73c | 89.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $200 in November?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $240 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.