Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x963b02ce2f5ec581332ada2fdde249f3ae930fb8e5e258e13a2b7dcc7e2a6bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 58c | 77,321$44,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,917.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 40c | 50,257$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,156.97 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 46,858$21,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,294.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 34,500$14,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,179.99 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 42c | 30,509$12,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,810.47 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 26,958$11,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,122.26 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 58c | 25,793$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 60c | 21,203$12,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,721.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.98 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 14,567$8,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,622.95 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 13,468$5,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.03 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 60c | 11,566$6,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,946.36 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 57c | 11,190$6,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,378.82 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 41c | 10,999$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,520.6 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 59c | 10,650$6,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.91 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 47c | 9,279$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,954.56 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 8,474$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.33 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 42c | 7,725$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.16 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 7,237$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.62 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 6,131$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.89 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ea…e6a5backed Yes | 6c | 5,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 40c | 4,738$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.8 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 52c | 4,284$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.89 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 3,891$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.31 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 58c | 3,453$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 47c | 2,767$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.95 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…c1e3backed Yes | 60c | 2,718$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…8009backed Yes | 56c | 2,689$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,593$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…249abacked Yes | 60c | 2,333$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,130$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 2,060$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.77 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 58c | 1,961$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.18 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…3418backed Yes | 55c | 1,902$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 54c | 1,844$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.71 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 54c | 1,718$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.56 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 62c | 1,593$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.38 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 44c | 1,559$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.08 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 41c | 1,316$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,260$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 45c | 1,255$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.81 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 60c | 1,245$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 40c | 1,106$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…cb7dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…f50bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 41c | 976.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 56c | 946.59$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.45 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 24c | 933.84$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 51c | 814.12$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 46c | 812.15$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.87 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…0f2dbacked Yes | 43c | 800$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…8fa1backed Yes | 63c | 799.75$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 42c | 766.92$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.92 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 38c | 727.36$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.26 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 19c | 700$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6179backed Yes | 46c | 672.57$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 48c | 645.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 47c | 643.8$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.59 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 39c | 642.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Yes | 59c | 640.15$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 18c | 606.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 56c | 604.21$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.07 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 600$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.64 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 58c | 594.4$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.47 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 56c | 537.09$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.77 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…7b64backed Yes | 56c | 537.04$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…c3d8backed No | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 498.42$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 21c | 476.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Yes | 56c | 458.49$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…30babacked Yes | 42c | 448.52$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 43c | 445.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.39 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Senegal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.