Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x602f2c64918e1dff2326077c9e93663bc6ffe98ec23f92514bf42e1365f1e9a1

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $144,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $160,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,035 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,199.98	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…daeebacked Yes	14c	10,714$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.99	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	16c	8,097$1,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.81	300	31%93 W · 207 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	37c	5,571$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,079.87	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	13c	5,078$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.35	236	22%52 W · 184 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes	15c	4,007$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…cb7dbacked Yes	12c	3,847$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes	12c	3,100$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.34	259	54.8%142 W · 117 L	+17.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes	55c	2,292$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes	52c	2,268$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170.03	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No	70c	2,045$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.26	184	38%70 W · 114 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	11c	1,867$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.37	203	22.7%46 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes	5c	1,273$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed No	49c	1,171$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.8	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7702…13d1backed Yes	9c	1,160$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	51c	1,105$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.31	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No	52c	1,019$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.04	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes	15c	999.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	21c	961.76$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.02	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes	8c	926.06$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed Yes	56c	871.91$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes	13c	799.06$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	78c	731.01$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.1	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	146	20.5%30 W · 116 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No	51c	548.53$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.54	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	15c	520.13$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.02	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No	76c	469.84$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.76	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes	36c	418.51$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.68	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a7f…fb81backed Yes	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6a…9234backed Yes	49c	395$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.55	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Yes	54c	351.06$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.79	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	26c	327.24$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.45	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Yes	13c	300$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes	17c	300$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes	15c	292.66$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.54	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes	50c	270$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe42…87eebacked Yes	11c	245.45$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes	14c	237.24$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.27	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked No	47c	214.72$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.8	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes	15c	213.84$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.35	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes	51c	201.96$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes	50c	200.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	41.9%52 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes	11c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed No	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	34.5%30 W · 57 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-32%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Yes	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb80a…53e4backed Yes	16c	145.69$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes	13c	145$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabca…b77ebacked Yes	8c	131.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-50%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49d…300cbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a7…6713backed Yes	17c	120$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	15c	119.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No	76c	118.7$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.18	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf987…6ea7backed Yes	11c	115.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes	14c	109.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	70	30%21 W · 49 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	178	51.1%91 W · 87 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda9e…42e0backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x100b…7641backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282d…8a32backed Yes	12c	99.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b03…ac24backed Yes	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.45per pick	21cpaid	+196.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Yes	42c	92.84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes	50c	92.84$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.42	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd50…6f97backed Yes	14c	76.32$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No	79c	72.5$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes	51c	57.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.19	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9959…eae7backed Yes	19c	51.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x868a…8e5bbacked Yes	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes	42c	39.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes	51c	37.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed Yes	49c	35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	28cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No	63c	23.8$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No	80c	15.8$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.16	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?this page
Will Senegal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes won
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event