Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36ce9122576a4802746811bd487c00bae8012ce93831832a38d074acf0df7287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 2,400$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.98 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 70c | 2,100$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 50c | 2,002$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.95 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 1,940$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.95 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…8009backed Yes | 34c | 1,389$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…eab7backed No | 71c | 1,276$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 63c | 1,052$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 872.53$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 35c | 576.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.36 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 28c | 484.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 51c | 434.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.94 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 399.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.83 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 382.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 29c | 371.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 29c | 348.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.07 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Yes | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 31c | 287.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 240.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 48c | 185$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc849…204dbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…87eebacked Yes | 68c | 155.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 54c | 153.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Yes | 48c | 147.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 33c | 147.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 35c | 141.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 35c | 141.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yes | 79c | 126.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 54c | 115.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 30c | 113.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 112.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 57c | 102.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 44c | 101.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 26c | 97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 94.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 55c | 90.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…7641backed Yes | 68c | 85.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 29c | 74.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 65c | 74.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 71c | 66.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 73c | 59.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Yes | 69c | 57.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 69c | 56.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…29eabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed Yes | 32c | 46.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 43.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 34c | 41.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…9075backed Yes | 57c | 40.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…aa1ebacked Yes | 52c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 55c | 31.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…a5cfbacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?this page
- Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.