Middle East · resolved market
US strike on Syria by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0e704b48db69befb2ea5cf80cac00329057168689e9831c93f0859bd835df27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 56c | 19,670$11,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,065.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…bd04backed No | 72c | 15,172$10,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…0b5ebacked Yes | 12c | 7,644$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 9c | 7,440$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.16 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9d3bbacked No | 74c | 6,776$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 22c | 6,523$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.95 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…5515backed Yes | 13c | 6,074$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +230.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…6094backed Yes | 23c | 5,108$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 37c | 5,040$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.64 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,250$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 75c | 4,226$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.57 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 10c | 3,994$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 13c | 3,427$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.74 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,266$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.58 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 14c | 3,123$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 10c | 2,796$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.11 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa377…a2ccbacked Yes | 11c | 2,555$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.81 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 80c | 2,502$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.43 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 79c | 2,354$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 21c | 2,325$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.25 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 4c | 2,244$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 2,233$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,156$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,131$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 20c | 2,067$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.44 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed Yes | 6c | 1,931$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb3…5a71backed Yes | 23c | 1,735$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,732$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.97 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,720$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 14c | 1,700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 68c | 1,616$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.89 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 20c | 1,598$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.32 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,596$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 7c | 1,593$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,588$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.23 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,570$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 16c | 1,568$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked No | 51c | 1,499$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.07 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -12.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 26c | 1,496$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…6a46backed No | 73c | 1,441$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 6c | 1,374$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…6d51backed Yes | 15c | 1,365$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 11cpaid | +660.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39d…b97fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,353$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…a628backed Yes | 12c | 1,323$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 9c | 1,228$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 53c | 1,224$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed Yes | 10c | 1,218$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 79c | 1,158$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.41 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked No | 50c | 1,117$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,100$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.98 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…e10fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,091$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 72c | 1,081$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.74 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,057$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 1c | 1,043$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,035$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,005$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed Yes | 39c | 1,005$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.43 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 25c | 868$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…5bd9backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 11c | 823.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…1ed4backed No | 77c | 816.32$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed Yes | 25c | 785$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 23c | 779.88$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 11c | 777.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…2b8dbacked Yes | 18c | 768.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +91%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…cee7backed Yes | 18c | 749.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 9c | 741$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 18c | 736.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…6e34backed Yes | 11c | 718.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…8a62backed Yes | 15c | 712.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…3169backed No | 80c | 712.85$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…f390backed No | 57c | 712.61$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 697.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 5c | 683.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 28c | 680.54$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 59c | 677.62$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.47 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed No | 74c | 677.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.41 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 49c | 675.58$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.36 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 14c | 666.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 27c | 623.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…9e5bbacked Yes | 22c | 600.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a0bfbacked Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 21c | 597.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 51c | 591.74$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 14c | 589.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed No | 75c | 579$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79f…53b7backed No | 33c | 578.16$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…d7fbbacked Yes | 14c | 574.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 35c | 573.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 15c | 568.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed No | 75c | 554.31$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +110%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa17f…8f46backed Yes | 18c | 545.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…7175backed Yes | 18c | 531$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 527.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 56c | 526.07$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.