TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes54c105,783$57,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,559.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No46c25,887$11,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,907.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No46c18,558$8,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,536.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No49c14,275$7,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,040.461040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c13,619$5,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,856.3598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes63c10,751$6,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,935.9347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No6c6,600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.995119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No46c6,134$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.794452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c5,290$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.6643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes56c4,466$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.863647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No43c3,786$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.032763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes66c3,506$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.246644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes54c3,225$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.7414060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No46c3,017$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.052352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c2,405$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.0233444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No46c2,303$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.932365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No46c2,236$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.635246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No46c2,186$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.444553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No13c2,150$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No46c2,105$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.335257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No36c1,911$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6931435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x196e…e9d6backed Yes54c1,860$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No46c1,539$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.23158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes54c1,481$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.482025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c1,463$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.5216858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No43c1,233$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.245352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No46c1,110$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.62240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.962445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes68c1,030$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes69c901.63$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.712356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes72c800$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22211063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No26c780.58$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.95933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No46c757.63$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No22c754.44$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1691811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes68c725$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.296471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c684.13$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0211752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No45c677.79$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.715754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No21c676.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7713049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Yes78c656.76$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No46c645.25$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.825255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No46c643.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.031952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes79c627.46$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.951060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No45c550.36$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.995154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…393dbacked No22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No46c469.02$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.756352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes59c447$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No44c399.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17514047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed No38c399.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes62c390$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No41c381.26$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3210837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c380.69$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6c…4c44backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c357.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8723551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf855…0952backed Yes77c347.22$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed No45c331.77$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No46c326.31$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.514355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No44c323$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.616147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes56c323$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.614944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No38c317.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1515140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c317.5$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4210857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c316.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1832453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Yes59c313$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No46c283.45$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.413551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No41c283.11$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4611940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No46c272.13$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.181154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed No48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes54c256$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes59c251$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Yes59c251$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes57c250.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes52c243$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.471844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes54c242$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.171855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No33c230.13$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7512532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.53063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes74c200.12$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8913540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b73…c441backed Yes77c199.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No46c187.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.461450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No45c185$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.252864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7f…2b63backed Yes54c176.3$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes67c172.62$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.784553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.