Australian A League · resolved market
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d8b976514deed7676edf7cab4332b685f3fee091761dfb7223f8188aad0e8c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 23c | 2,176$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Yes | 22c | 1,590$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,492$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 1,067$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 18c | 857$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 800.98$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 562.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 24c | 460.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 24c | 419$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 6c | 344$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 6c | 340.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 320.75$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 255.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 20c | 250.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 231.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 231.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 79c | 231.24$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 231.24$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 231.24$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 231.24$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 9c | 228$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 193.14$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 176.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes | 9c | 149.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Yes | 23c | 147.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 141.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 16c | 74.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 62.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked No | 79c | 35.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 79c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 80c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 78c | 18.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.