Us Politics · resolved market
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de2ef0ee5b47faaaaba718670d7f6250bf5363266fd1d86b814ac647486641c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $485,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 18c | 81,120$14,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,507.43 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 12c | 26,171$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 71c | 25,866$18,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 8c | 16,118$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.55 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 8,843$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.7 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 8,701$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.48 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 63c | 7,500$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.59 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 7,085$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.77 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…113dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,180$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked No | 60c | 5,252$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd0…6259backed No | 63c | 4,999$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 26c | 4,844$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.45 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked No | 79c | 4,712$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 16c | 4,584$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.69 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed No | 79c | 3,093$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 13c | 2,967$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.74 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…01efbacked No | 64c | 2,906$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed No | 60c | 2,856$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,800$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.15 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 77c | 2,763$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.44 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,509$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Yes | 8c | 2,246$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…597fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,175$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 1c | 1,910$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 22c | 1,800$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 5c | 1,779$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 4c | 1,758$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed No | 75c | 1,640$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 3c | 1,627$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,434$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 1,299$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 1,298$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,291$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…78f8backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…5304backed Yes | 51c | 1,216$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 7c | 1,114$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,104$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.77 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 7c | 1,077$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 25c | 963.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…4da4backed Yes | 7c | 930$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 75c | 885$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 22c | 769.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 27c | 757$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 752$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 11c | 738.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 64c | 708.67$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.7 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 5c | 681$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 5c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…bafdbacked Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 25c | 599.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 4c | 589.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 19c | 564.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 5c | 533.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +659%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 8c | 499.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 16c | 489.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 52c | 481$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…7ebfbacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed No | 56c | 467.08$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Yes | 22c | 465$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb94…96bebacked Yes | 25c | 440.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 61c | 415$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 414.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…d82cbacked No | 63c | 414$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 402.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 13c | 402$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0a…23d2backed Yes | 13c | 400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 15c | 380.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 55c | 380$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…393dbacked No | 78c | 380$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 77c | 354.58$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 350.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 8c | 348$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked No | 48c | 338$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 37c | 330.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc38a…1b18backed Yes | 6c | 319.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed Yes | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…bbe5backed Yes | 9c | 289.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 39c | 289$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4405…6a37backed No | 70c | 285.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +283.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…512cbacked Yes | 4c | 281.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 77c | 260$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 10c | 254.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 22c | 254.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 16c | 239.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 7c | 222$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 80c | 220$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…ab66backed Yes | 79c | 205$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…1451backed Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…728dbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…5f93backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.