Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a10ea4f5d42ac33a29d73b8562f4414f5ea2219afd9da74ba950f7aefe7c630

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,348,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,252,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,348,946 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xccc1…889dbacked Yes	0c	277,113$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.7	13	0%0 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	2c	171,969$3,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,771.03	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	8c	94,536$7,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,706.11	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	67,083$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.34	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4593…8d75backed Yes	3c	64,427$1,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,844.69	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57be…0debbacked Yes	5c	51,160$2,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,391.56	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	3c	47,138$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.18	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	12c	44,861$5,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,287.87	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	7c	41,411$3,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,011.77	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa56…b2c7backed Yes	1c	33,688$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	0c	32,098$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.56	121	29.8%36 W · 85 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e2…30acbacked Yes	0c	25,990$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d79…28bdbacked Yes	5c	25,526$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344.18	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+239.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da2…ab27backed Yes	0c	25,232$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.23	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…47cebacked Yes	5c	24,036$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.05	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	14c	23,679$3,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,405.43	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	13cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	79c	21,405$16,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,452.71	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x967a…5668backed Yes	0c	21,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c4…e1d5backed Yes	0c	21,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd4d…1a54backed Yes	0c	21,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f81…b938backed Yes	0c	20,850$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked Yes	11c	20,469$2,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,282.91	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+104.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b7…f6f5backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb698…14f0backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf109…ea2abacked Yes	0c	19,000$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15e7…ebc1backed Yes	0c	19,000$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	0c	18,789$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb133…0d9ebacked Yes	0c	18,783$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Yes	14c	18,513$2,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,577.18	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe835…d4d8backed Yes	0c	18,500$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	18c	18,034$3,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,251.83	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ce…ca74backed Yes	0c	18,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad9…799fbacked Yes	0c	18,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa931…0783backed Yes	0c	18,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a6…0a76backed Yes	3c	16,712$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.27	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa6…b9a8backed Yes	3c	16,286$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…626cbacked Yes	0c	16,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd14a…980cbacked Yes	0c	16,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	13c	15,529$2,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,086.54	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed Yes	21c	15,409$3,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,181.34	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f5…453fbacked Yes	0c	15,204$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf74f…c6d6backed Yes	0c	15,063$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9a…ee4cbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab5…2f52backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes	0c	14,444$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe1…ce4fbacked Yes	0c	13,050$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d3…d131backed Yes	0c	13,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ac…4acabacked Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b37…f0c0backed Yes	0c	11,580$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd378…44eabacked Yes	2c	11,086$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda02…a35cbacked Yes	10c	10,574$1,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.66	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0414…be21backed Yes	18c	10,382$1,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.77	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes	8c	10,025$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.18	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf940…ba0bbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5769…ad41backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	1c	10,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3099…be59backed Yes	0c	9,095$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	9,025$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.75	89	2.2%2 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed Yes	12c	8,188$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.46	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+11.4wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd449…21b0backed Yes	12c	8,146$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.59	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfec…9cccbacked Yes	2c	8,107$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.53	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+2,755.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes	25c	8,000$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,003.32	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	1c	7,847$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.36	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked Yes	6c	7,500$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.95	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	4c	7,459$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.15	135	7.4%10 W · 125 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes	2c	7,417$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.41	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b9…b836backed Yes	19c	7,397$1,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,427.62	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	7,202$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x568d…b9c8backed Yes	11c	7,124$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-57%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01da…ea89backed Yes	14c	7,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.5	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc12a…f980backed Yes	1c	6,922$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.72	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes	6c	6,773$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c4…2d95backed Yes	19c	6,703$1,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,285.04	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	17c	6,700$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.19	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	6,476$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.77	234	4.3%10 W · 224 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x845d…a523backed Yes	4c	6,120$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Yes	1c	6,090$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.61	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+142%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No	76c	6,072$4,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	3c	6,007$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.23	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+108.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Yes	10c	6,000$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.7	149	47.7%71 W · 78 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes	1c	6,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	284	30.3%86 W · 198 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes	19c	5,764$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,087.36	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5093…5884backed Yes	26c	5,682$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…afe7backed Yes	18c	5,471$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef5c…661dbacked Yes	20c	5,029$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-75%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5b…073bbacked Yes	2c	4,626$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.45	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes	10c	4,623$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.76	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	4,585$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	23c	4,526$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.8	150	26%39 W · 111 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7697…1273backed Yes	23c	4,479$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8785…df3fbacked Yes	2c	4,285$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.23	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e4…2d2cbacked Yes	9c	4,247$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.43	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-80%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a0…c02ebacked Yes	2c	4,184$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.95	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	1c	4,088$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-94.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	4c	4,026$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.22	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Yes	12c	4,003$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.61	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes	26c	4,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7186…d970backed No	77c	3,874$2,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event