World Politics · resolved market
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x974dcbcce5e8186e0e273065a60675bc17617897c395eca60478d0c49f80718f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,816,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,816,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Yes | 1c | 75,137$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…ec05backed Yes | 0c | 51,940$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f80…c62abacked Yes | 0c | 46,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…b727backed Yes | 0c | 44,200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,620$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…0df8backed Yes | 0c | 38,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…0fdebacked Yes | 0c | 20,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes | 0c | 19,060$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,706$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 14,063$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…f811backed Yes | 0c | 13,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…69bcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…76e1backed Yes | 0c | 12,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 12,045$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7e…9ab1backed Yes | 0c | 11,980$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf996…2ac4backed Yes | 0c | 11,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc80…ab3cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,760$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…47dabacked Yes | 0c | 11,710$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…aadbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…66fabacked Yes | 0c | 11,290$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…213ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…2a54backed Yes | 0c | 11,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c8…504cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…7407backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…63b5backed Yes | 0c | 10,870$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f30…1ee2backed Yes | 0c | 10,840$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…7236backed Yes | 0c | 10,530$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3d…3e83backed Yes | 1c | 10,269$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…1dd5backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…c02ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,445$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…ffbcbacked Yes | 1c | 7,743$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…f772backed Yes | 0c | 7,591$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…be83backed Yes | 1c | 7,035$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…4be2backed Yes | 2c | 6,866$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb005…e690backed Yes | 0c | 6,784$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 6,748$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 6,503$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,431$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…68c6backed Yes | 1c | 6,155$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0252…2054backed Yes | 0c | 6,033$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…decdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,629$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…0a76backed Yes | 1c | 4,534$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…350abacked Yes | 2c | 4,408$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 4,360$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 1c | 4,325$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1d…04dcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,180$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 1c | 4,062$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,866$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 3,863$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,582$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…8872backed Yes | 4c | 3,576$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…6548backed Yes | 0c | 3,509$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…3412backed Yes | 1c | 3,501$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…66c8backed Yes | 3c | 3,434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…770bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,405$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 0c | 3,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…6054backed Yes | 0c | 3,153$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0d1cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,138$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…ae9cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,098$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 0c | 3,060$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,019$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…9d21backed Yes | 1c | 2,858$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…2163backed Yes | 0c | 2,565$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3da9backed Yes | 0c | 2,532$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…3f9dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,520$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…ee09backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,479$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…5a6fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,325$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…10bbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,207$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,199$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…73efbacked Yes | 1c | 2,124$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,038$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…3d77backed Yes | 1c | 1,841$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…b38abacked Yes | 1c | 1,716$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…b622backed Yes | 6c | 1,644$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010e…9c73backed Yes | 1c | 1,638$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,633$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…e1a2backed Yes | 3c | 1,579$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 1c | 1,563$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…f6f6backed Yes | 1c | 1,540$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…ebc6backed Yes | 7c | 1,462$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…f185backed Yes | 1c | 1,330$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…23f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,329$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…f60ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,253$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab62…0eefbacked Yes | 1c | 1,166$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3a…f596backed Yes | 1c | 1,139$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…f899backed Yes | 6c | 1,117$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…70efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,064$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb7…4cadbacked Yes | 2c | 1,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…2c65backed Yes | 1c | 1,005$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 1c | 986.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…6f1ebacked Yes | 2c | 843.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 3c | 823.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 1c | 784.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…d7e5backed Yes | 1c | 756.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 518.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…0debbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 488.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.