NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dcb2e470559a639f9dc535052cfcf5c023b7182ac41f9c9da15200d81fe1ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Magic, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,367,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,553,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,367,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,869 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Magic | 49c | 1,294,622$640,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Magic | 48c | 483,896$232,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232,649.61 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Knicks | 50c | 425,000$214,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210,800 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks | 49c | 310,829$153,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,744.2 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Knicks | 50c | 294,818$147,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,409.25 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 53c | 143,451$76,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,800.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Knicks | 52c | 83,250$43,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,550.49 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Magic | 45c | 66,162$29,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,705.44 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Magic | 46c | 61,600$28,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,494.63 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Knicks | 79c | 58,062$46,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,928.96 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 54c | 45,448$24,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,923.75 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 60c | 44,747$26,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,863.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks | 55c | 43,957$24,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,668.17 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Magic | 47c | 42,553$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 65c | 40,683$26,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,162.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Magic | 47c | 39,823$18,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,716.89 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 52c | 37,647$19,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,075.85 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Knicks | 51c | 29,053$14,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,235.97 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Knicks | 51c | 28,263$14,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,780.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Knicks | 51c | 27,648$14,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,509.31 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Knicks | 53c | 25,000$13,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,633 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Magic | 46c | 23,663$10,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,889.02 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 16c | 23,659$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.64 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 52c | 23,166$12,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,121.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 52c | 22,296$11,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,752.11 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 69c | 19,405$13,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,028.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Magic | 50c | 19,398$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.3 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Knicks | 51c | 18,216$9,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,925.84 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Knicks | 56c | 17,981$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,980.57 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Knicks | 67c | 17,647$11,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,792.68 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Knicks | 53c | 17,367$9,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,232.05 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks | 52c | 17,274$9,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,260.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Magic | 39c | 17,000$6,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,544.98 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Knicks | 64c | 16,872$10,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.8 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks | 59c | 15,967$9,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,498.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Knicks | 55c | 15,716$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,065.59 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks | 77c | 13,773$10,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.34 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Magic | 32c | 13,567$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.25 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…00c1backed Knicks | 53c | 13,300$7,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,251 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…b2e1backed Knicks | 53c | 13,232$7,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Knicks | 55c | 13,000$7,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,789.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…8352backed Knicks | 52c | 12,362$6,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,933.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 42c | 11,717$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…5c89backed Magic | 42c | 11,073$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Magic | 5c | 10,972$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.72 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…2bfebacked Magic | 39c | 10,500$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Magic | 45c | 10,325$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.43 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 21c | 9,872$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.64 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Knicks | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Knicks | 53c | 9,278$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.86 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Magic | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…0dcfbacked Magic | 39c | 8,700$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…944ebacked Magic | 47c | 8,650$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Magic | 47c | 8,500$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Knicks | 53c | 8,500$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Magic | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.98 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Knicks | 52c | 8,457$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.36 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 41c | 8,452$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Knicks | 54c | 8,028$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.94 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked Magic | 45c | 8,025$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…18f5backed Magic | 8c | 8,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Knicks | 79c | 7,890$6,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.29 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 56c | 7,384$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.05 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 42c | 7,201$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.36 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…7facbacked Knicks | 53c | 7,200$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…d5b1backed Magic | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…17f3backed Knicks | 61c | 6,637$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…d826backed Magic | 45c | 6,546$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1e…912ebacked Magic | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Magic | 40c | 6,200$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…f65cbacked Knicks | 53c | 6,178$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…2420backed Knicks | 62c | 5,900$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…0946backed Knicks | 55c | 5,700$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…60e8backed Knicks | 61c | 5,602$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…24abbacked Knicks | 60c | 5,600$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.72 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Knicks | 52c | 5,400$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.99 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…0f3cbacked Magic | 42c | 5,342$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Magic | 38c | 5,312$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.71 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Magic | 39c | 5,084$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.67 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…0d9bbacked Knicks | 57c | 5,065$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Knicks | 52c | 5,035$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.76 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…2958backed Knicks | 57c | 4,933$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3298…8ea9backed Knicks | 62c | 4,900$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…f811backed Magic | 42c | 4,655$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Knicks | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 69c | 4,626$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 4,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8185…aa29backed Magic | 47c | 4,582$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…5420backed Magic | 15c | 4,568$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fe…e95dbacked Knicks | 60c | 4,296$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 43c | 4,295$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 57c | 4,251$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.88 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked Knicks | 53c | 4,227$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 51c | 4,125$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.33 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…e26cbacked Knicks | 61c | 4,100$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…3444backed Magic | 39c | 4,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Magic | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Knicksthis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.