Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa368b9b8a22b8fd9338f3e46b4ce5f856233ac5ff45e30557384846279acee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Yes | 19c | 52,246$10,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…a402backed Yes | 21c | 28,049$5,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,891.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 53c | 16,801$8,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,925.42 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 16,249$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…b99cbacked No | 77c | 15,398$11,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 13c | 15,138$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.59 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0c…7923backed No | 76c | 15,110$11,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 14,425$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…df07backed Yes | 7c | 10,225$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No | 48c | 9,814$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.62 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…b4f4backed Yes | 10c | 9,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…c69bbacked Yes | 15c | 8,781$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…4e3cbacked Yes | 6c | 8,710$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…37a6backed Yes | 14c | 8,400$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 10c | 8,339$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.04 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…3f07backed Yes | 4c | 7,880$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…db83backed Yes | 1c | 7,724$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 4c | 7,110$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8800backed Yes | 1c | 6,927$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 33c | 6,849$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 2c | 6,837$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 10c | 6,817$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.89 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…4aaabacked Yes | 52c | 6,600$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked No | 76c | 6,459$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.71 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,397$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…7939backed No | 71c | 4,730$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c86…6550backed Yes | 42c | 4,219$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Yes | 27c | 4,110$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…f5f3backed Yes | 5c | 3,948$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 75c | 3,741$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…b2c0backed No | 77c | 3,609$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…5640backed Yes | 3c | 3,520$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,506$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…e41dbacked No | 66c | 3,367$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 40c | 3,331$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…24ebbacked Yes | 25c | 2,700$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 56c | 2,683$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…3733backed Yes | 70c | 2,595$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…5fa0backed Yes | 20c | 2,502$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…fd70backed Yes | 4c | 2,437$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeed…b85dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,390$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a0…857cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,365$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,287$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed No | 48c | 2,276$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 9c | 2,267$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 27c | 2,191$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…8b86backed Yes | 4c | 2,093$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04be…a080backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked No | 77c | 2,048$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…3c96backed No | 72c | 2,019$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…d4e3backed Yes | 6c | 1,999$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x836a…7581backed Yes | 12c | 1,854$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 71c | 1,842$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.87 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…576bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,817$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…b616backed No | 66c | 1,806$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…ad77backed No | 31c | 1,725$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 40c | 1,705$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -8.6wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…1892backed Yes | 9c | 1,629$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed No | 40c | 1,600$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…fc51backed No | 56c | 1,546$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…7081backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 1,471$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.37 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…0677backed Yes | 72c | 1,462$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c2…369ebacked No | 56c | 1,417$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…21d6backed Yes | 1c | 1,402$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,350$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.99 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed No | 74c | 1,348$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…6182backed No | 78c | 1,327$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…be8cbacked No | 72c | 1,311$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Yes | 5c | 1,289$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 48c | 1,234$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 58c | 1,220$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…abe7backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 45c | 1,200$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…2670backed Yes | 45c | 1,175$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe420…04a6backed Yes | 34c | 1,173$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,171$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,125$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…2d8fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16b…72f1backed Yes | 2c | 1,104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…7b86backed Yes | 29c | 1,062$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…ec7cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,009$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5ae8backed No | 76c | 1,005$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8434…55fcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff36backed Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…73e0backed No | 73c | 999.82$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…8a2dbacked No | 72c | 966.61$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd282…30e4backed Yes | 41c | 929.93$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed No | 73c | 904.02$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…8f82backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed Yes | 69c | 873.96$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 23c | 870$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…02a7backed Yes | 22c | 852.53$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.